Football · Poland II Liga · 25/10, 19:30

Prediction: GKS Tychy 71 vs Podhale Nowy Targ

Team pages: GKS Tychy 71 · Podhale Nowy Targ

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
GKS Tychy 711.75
Podhale Nowy Targ1.12
1X2
51% 25% 23%
GKS Tychy 71 Draw Podhale Nowy Targ
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
GKS Tychy 71 5-5-0 (W-D-L)
DDWDWDDWWW
Podhale Nowy Targ 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LLDWWWLWDD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GKS Tychy 71 1579 · Podhale Nowy Targ 1521
GKS Tychy 71DrawPodhale Nowy Targ
Our model51%26%23%
Market51%25%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GKS Tychy 71 (rating 1579 vs 1521).
  • High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GKS Tychy 71Podhale Nowy Targ
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 0.61.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.30.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/60/0%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 6.52.3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 04.6 / 0.3

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Znicz Pruszków 12921 251229
2 GKS Tychy 71 12750 19726
3 Gornik Leczna 12624 221520
4 Sandecja Nowy Sacz 12543 191519
5 Podhale Nowy Targ 12543 222019
6 Olimpia Grudziadz 12543 151719
7 Hutnik Krakow 12534 191618
8 Chojniczanka Chojnice 12534 212018
9 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 12525 161317
10 Avia Swidnik 12525 161817
11 Lechia Zielona Góra 12444 201816
11 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 12444 201816
13 Stal Stalowa Wola 12516 212416
14 Legia Warsaw II 12417 232113
15 Slask Wroclaw II 12318 202410
16 Sokol Kleczew 12165 12259
17 OKS Swit Skolwin 12237 12269
18 Resovia Rzeszow 12057 7205

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGKS Tychy 71Podhale Nowy Targ
Legia Warsaw II 2-1 W 0-3 L
Gornik Leczna 3-0 W 2-5 L
Hutnik Krakow 2-0 W 2-5 L
Sandecja Nowy Sacz 0-0 D 2-1 W
Resovia Rzeszow 2-2 D 1-1 D
Olimpia Grudziadz 1-1 D 3-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 3 D 0 L 2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: GKS Tychy 71 (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GKS Tychy 71

DDWDWDDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Legia Warsaw II
Poland II Liga
1-0 2-1 103 W
11/10 Gornik Leczna
Poland II Liga
1-0 3-0 33 W
03/10 Hutnik Krakow
Poland II Liga
1-0 2-0 95 W
20/09 Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Poland II Liga
0-0 0-0 75 D
11/09 Znicz Pruszków
Poland II Liga
1-1 1-1 66 D
06/09 Avia Swidnik
Poland II Liga
0-0 1-0 44 W
30/08 OKS Swit Skolwin
Poland II Liga
1-1 1-1 76 D
23/08 Slask Wroclaw II
Poland II Liga
0-0 3-0 72 W
15/08 Resovia Rzeszow
Poland II Liga
1-1 2-2 94 D
09/08 Olimpia Grudziadz
Poland II Liga
1-0 1-1 35 D

Podhale Nowy Targ

LLDWWWLWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Lechia Zielona Góra
Poland II Liga
0-0 0-0 16 D
09/10 Chojniczanka Chojnice
Poland II Liga
1-2 2-2 75 D
03/10 Rekord Bielsko-Biala
Poland II Liga
0-0 2-1 87 W
19/09 Legia Warsaw II
Poland II Liga
0-1 0-3 42 L
12/09 Stal Stalowa Wola
Poland II Liga
3-0 5-0 83 W
05/09 Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Poland II Liga
1-1 2-1 85 W
29/08 Olimpia Grudziadz
Poland II Liga
2-0 3-1 33 W
22/08 Resovia Rzeszow
Poland II Liga
0-0 1-1 46 D
14/08 Gornik Leczna
Poland II Liga
0-3 2-5 43 L
08/08 Hutnik Krakow
Poland II Liga
1-2 2-5 49 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GKS Tychy 71 vs Podhale Nowy Targ?

According to our model, the most likely result is a GKS Tychy 71 win (51%). Probabilities: GKS Tychy 71 51%, draw 25%, Podhale Nowy Targ 23%.

How many goals are expected in GKS Tychy 71 vs Podhale Nowy Targ?

The model expects 2.88 goals (GKS Tychy 71 1.75 · Podhale Nowy Targ 1.12), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in GKS Tychy 71 vs Podhale Nowy Targ?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.