Football · Poland II Liga · 24/10, 14:00

Prediction: Hutnik Krakow vs Olimpia Grudziadz

Team pages: Hutnik Krakow · Olimpia Grudziadz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

Hutnik Krakow1.5

Olimpia Grudziadz1.5

1X2

37% 26% 37%

Hutnik Krakow Draw Olimpia Grudziadz

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Hutnik Krakow 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWDWLDLLWL

Olimpia Grudziadz 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLWDLWWD

Head-to-head

Hutnik Krakow 1–3–2 Olimpia Grudziadz (6 last)

Olimpia Grudziadz2-2Hutnik Krakow
Hutnik Krakow2-2Olimpia Grudziadz
Olimpia Grudziadz4-3Hutnik Krakow
Hutnik Krakow1-1Olimpia Grudziadz
Hutnik Krakow1-2Olimpia Grudziadz
Olimpia Grudziadz0-2Hutnik Krakow

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hutnik Krakow 1494 · Olimpia Grudziadz 1550

	Hutnik Krakow	Draw	Olimpia Grudziadz
Our model	37%	27%	37%
Market	37%	26%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olimpia Grudziadz (rating 1494 vs 1550).
H2H favours Olimpia Grudziadz: 2-3-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hutnik Krakow	Olimpia Grudziadz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.6	1.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 7.1	2.6 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	4.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.50

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
17:08 +7’	2.40	3.50	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hutnik Krakow 1–3–2 Olimpia Grudziadz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Poland II Liga	Olimpia Grudziadz	2-2 HT 2-1	Hutnik Krakow
09/11/25 Poland II Liga	Hutnik Krakow	2-2 HT 1-1	Olimpia Grudziadz
06/04/25 Poland II Liga	Olimpia Grudziadz	4-3 HT 2-2	Hutnik Krakow
07/09/24 Poland II Liga	Hutnik Krakow	1-1 HT 1-0	Olimpia Grudziadz
25/05/24 Poland II Liga	Hutnik Krakow	1-2 HT 0-1	Olimpia Grudziadz
11/11/23 Poland II Liga	Olimpia Grudziadz	0-2 HT 0-1	Hutnik Krakow

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	12	9	2	1	25	12	29
2	GKS Tychy 71	12	7	5	0	19	7	26
3	Gornik Leczna	12	6	2	4	22	15	20
4	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	12	5	4	3	19	15	19
5	Podhale Nowy Targ	12	5	4	3	22	20	19
6	Olimpia Grudziadz	12	5	4	3	15	17	19
7	Hutnik Krakow	12	5	3	4	19	16	18
8	Chojniczanka Chojnice	12	5	3	4	21	20	18
9	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	12	5	2	5	16	13	17
10	Avia Swidnik	12	5	2	5	16	18	17
11	Lechia Zielona Góra	12	4	4	4	20	18	16
11	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	12	4	4	4	20	18	16
13	Stal Stalowa Wola	12	5	1	6	21	24	16
14	Legia Warsaw II	12	4	1	7	23	21	13
15	Slask Wroclaw II	12	3	1	8	20	24	10
16	Sokol Kleczew	12	1	6	5	12	25	9
17	OKS Swit Skolwin	12	2	3	7	12	26	9
18	Resovia Rzeszow	12	0	5	7	7	20	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hutnik Krakow	Olimpia Grudziadz
Chojniczanka Chojnice	1-2 L	1-3 L
Sokol Kleczew	2-1 W	1-1 D
GKS Tychy 71	0-2 L	1-1 D
Slask Wroclaw II	0-2 L	1-0 W
Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1-1 D	2-1 W
Znicz Pruszków	2-4 L	1-0 W
Podhale Nowy Targ	5-2 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Olimpia Grudziadz (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hutnik Krakow

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	1-1	1-2	10	5	L
11/10	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
03/10	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-1	0-2	1	5	L
20/09	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	0-1	0-2	16	4	L
12/09	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	8	5	D
06/09	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	2-1	2-4	3	8	L
29/08	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	2-1	2-1	5	3	W
23/08	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	1-0	1-1	11	3	D
16/08	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
08/08	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	2-1	5-2	4	9	W

Olimpia Grudziadz

DWWLWDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
12/10	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	5	8	W
04/10	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
19/09	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	1-2	1-3	10	2	L
11/09	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	5	8	D
06/09	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
29/08	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-2	1-3	6	3	L
23/08	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
16/08	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
09/08	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-1	1-1	3	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hutnik Krakow vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hutnik Krakow win (37%). Probabilities: Hutnik Krakow 37%, draw 26%, Olimpia Grudziadz 37%.

How many goals are expected in Hutnik Krakow vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Hutnik Krakow 1.5 · Olimpia Grudziadz 1.5), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hutnik Krakow vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.