Football · Poland II Liga · 17/10, 15:30

Prediction: OKS Swit Skolwin vs Olimpia Grudziadz

Team pages: OKS Swit Skolwin · Olimpia Grudziadz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

OKS Swit Skolwin1.21

Olimpia Grudziadz1.71

1X2

26% 25% 48%

OKS Swit Skolwin Draw Olimpia Grudziadz

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

OKS Swit Skolwin 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDDWLLWL

Olimpia Grudziadz 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWLWDLWW

Head-to-head

OKS Swit Skolwin 1–3–2 Olimpia Grudziadz (6 last)

Olimpia Grudziadz3-3OKS Swit Skolwin
OKS Swit Skolwin0-1Olimpia Grudziadz
Olimpia Grudziadz1-1OKS Swit Skolwin
OKS Swit Skolwin3-1Olimpia Grudziadz
Olimpia Grudziadz2-2OKS Swit Skolwin
Olimpia Grudziadz2-0OKS Swit Skolwin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · OKS Swit Skolwin 1443 · Olimpia Grudziadz 1562

	OKS Swit Skolwin	Draw	Olimpia Grudziadz
Our model	26%	26%	48%
Market	26%	25%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olimpia Grudziadz (rating 1443 vs 1562).
H2H favours Olimpia Grudziadz: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	OKS Swit Skolwin	Olimpia Grudziadz
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.2	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.8	2.8 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	4.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.60

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.88

2 (-0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:21 +6’	3.40	3.60	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · OKS Swit Skolwin 1–3–2 Olimpia Grudziadz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/08/26 Poland Cup	Olimpia Grudziadz	3-3 HT 0-2	OKS Swit Skolwin
30/05/26 Poland II Liga	OKS Swit Skolwin	0-1 HT 0-0	Olimpia Grudziadz
15/11/25 Poland II Liga	Olimpia Grudziadz	1-1 HT 0-1	OKS Swit Skolwin
10/05/25 Poland II Liga	OKS Swit Skolwin	3-1 HT 1-1	Olimpia Grudziadz
12/10/24 Poland II Liga	Olimpia Grudziadz	2-2 HT 1-1	OKS Swit Skolwin
12/08/22 Poland III Liga	Olimpia Grudziadz	2-0 HT 0-0	OKS Swit Skolwin

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	11	8	2	1	24	12	26
2	GKS Tychy 71	11	6	5	0	17	6	23
3	Gornik Leczna	11	6	2	3	21	13	20
4	Hutnik Krakow	11	5	3	3	18	14	18
5	Podhale Nowy Targ	11	5	3	3	22	20	18
6	Olimpia Grudziadz	11	5	3	3	14	16	18
7	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	11	5	2	4	16	12	17
8	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	11	4	4	3	17	14	16
9	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	11	4	4	3	15	12	16
10	Lechia Zielona Góra	11	4	3	4	20	18	15
11	Chojniczanka Chojnice	11	4	3	4	19	19	15
12	Avia Swidnik	11	4	2	5	14	17	14
13	Stal Stalowa Wola	11	4	1	6	19	23	13
14	Legia Warsaw II	10	4	0	6	20	17	12
15	Slask Wroclaw II	10	3	0	7	17	20	9
16	Sokol Kleczew	11	1	5	5	12	25	8
17	OKS Swit Skolwin	11	2	2	7	11	25	8
18	Resovia Rzeszow	11	0	4	7	7	20	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	OKS Swit Skolwin	Olimpia Grudziadz
Sokol Kleczew	2-1 W	1-1 D
Rekord Bielsko-Biala	0-3 L	2-1 W
Chojniczanka Chojnice	1-5 L	1-3 L
Lechia Zielona Góra	4-1 W	2-2 D
GKS Tychy 71	1-1 D	1-1 D
Znicz Pruszków	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Olimpia Grudziadz (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

OKS Swit Skolwin

LLLDDWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
03/10	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	1-0	2-1	11	11	W
18/09	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	0-1	0-3	2	1	L
12/09	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	1-2	1-5	6	5	L
05/09	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	1-0	4-1	3	1	W
30/08	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	1	6	D
22/08	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	5	2	D
15/08	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
09/08	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	0-1	0-5	7	0	L
01/08	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	0-2	0-3	7	6	L

Olimpia Grudziadz

DDWWLWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	5	8	W
04/10	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
19/09	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	1-2	1-3	10	2	L
11/09	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	5	8	D
06/09	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
29/08	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-2	1-3	6	3	L
23/08	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
16/08	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
09/08	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
01/08	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	1-1	2-2	7	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in OKS Swit Skolwin vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Olimpia Grudziadz win (48%). Probabilities: OKS Swit Skolwin 26%, draw 25%, Olimpia Grudziadz 48%.

How many goals are expected in OKS Swit Skolwin vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

The model expects 2.93 goals (OKS Swit Skolwin 1.21 · Olimpia Grudziadz 1.71), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in OKS Swit Skolwin vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.