Football · Poland II Liga · 17/10, 12:00

Prediction: Legia Warsaw II vs GKS Tychy 71

Team pages: Legia Warsaw II · GKS Tychy 71

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

Legia Warsaw II1.08

GKS Tychy 711.67

1X2

24% 26% 51%

Legia Warsaw II Draw GKS Tychy 71

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Legia Warsaw II 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLLLWW

GKS Tychy 71 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

WDDWDWDDWW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Legia Warsaw II 1492 · GKS Tychy 71 1577

	Legia Warsaw II	Draw	GKS Tychy 71
Our model	23%	27%	50%
Market	24%	25%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GKS Tychy 71 (rating 1492 vs 1577).
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Legia Warsaw II	GKS Tychy 71
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.7	1.6 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.3	2.7 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	4.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.70

X3.60

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)2.00

2 (-0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
20:51 +8’	3.70	3.60	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	11	8	2	1	24	12	26
2	GKS Tychy 71	11	6	5	0	17	6	23
3	Gornik Leczna	11	6	2	3	21	13	20
4	Hutnik Krakow	11	5	3	3	18	14	18
5	Podhale Nowy Targ	11	5	3	3	22	20	18
6	Olimpia Grudziadz	11	5	3	3	14	16	18
7	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	11	5	2	4	16	12	17
8	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	11	4	4	3	17	14	16
9	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	11	4	4	3	15	12	16
10	Lechia Zielona Góra	11	4	3	4	20	18	15
11	Chojniczanka Chojnice	11	4	3	4	19	19	15
12	Avia Swidnik	11	4	2	5	14	17	14
13	Stal Stalowa Wola	11	4	1	6	19	23	13
14	Legia Warsaw II	10	4	0	6	20	17	12
15	Slask Wroclaw II	10	3	0	7	17	20	9
16	Sokol Kleczew	11	1	5	5	12	25	8
17	OKS Swit Skolwin	11	2	2	7	11	25	8
18	Resovia Rzeszow	11	0	4	7	7	20	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Legia Warsaw II	GKS Tychy 71
Gornik Leczna	1-4 L	3-0 W
Hutnik Krakow	0-2 L	2-0 W
OKS Swit Skolwin	5-0 W	1-1 D
Znicz Pruszków	1-2 L	1-1 D
Stal Stalowa Wola	0-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: GKS Tychy 71 (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Legia Warsaw II

LLWLWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
19/09	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
12/09	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	1-0	1-4	2	4	L
06/09	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	0-1	1-2	6	7	L
29/08	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	0-1	1-4	7	3	L
23/08	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	2-1	6-1	6	2	W
16/08	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	0-2	0-2	6	2	L
09/08	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	1-0	5-0	6	0	W
31/07	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	0-0	1-2	9	3	L
25/07	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	0-0	0-2	3	2	L

GKS Tychy 71

WDDWDWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	1-0	3-0	3	3	W
03/10	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	9	5	W
20/09	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
11/09	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
06/09	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
30/08	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	7	6	D
23/08	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	0-0	3-0	7	2	W
15/08	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	1-1	2-2	9	4	D
09/08	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
31/07	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	0-0	2-1	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Legia Warsaw II vs GKS Tychy 71?

According to our model, the most likely result is an GKS Tychy 71 win (51%). Probabilities: Legia Warsaw II 24%, draw 26%, GKS Tychy 71 51%.

How many goals are expected in Legia Warsaw II vs GKS Tychy 71?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Legia Warsaw II 1.08 · GKS Tychy 71 1.67), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Legia Warsaw II vs GKS Tychy 71?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.