Football · Poland II Liga · 17/10, 12:30

Prediction: Hutnik Krakow vs Chojniczanka Chojnice

Team pages: Hutnik Krakow · Chojniczanka Chojnice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

Hutnik Krakow1.63

Chojniczanka Chojnice1.45

1X2

41% 26% 33%

Hutnik Krakow Draw Chojniczanka Chojnice

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Hutnik Krakow 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWDWLDLLW

Chojniczanka Chojnice 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWDDWWLD

Head-to-head

Hutnik Krakow 1–2–3 Chojniczanka Chojnice (6 last)

Hutnik Krakow1-1Chojniczanka Chojnice
Chojniczanka Chojnice2-1Hutnik Krakow
Chojniczanka Chojnice3-0Hutnik Krakow
Hutnik Krakow3-2Chojniczanka Chojnice
Chojniczanka Chojnice2-2Hutnik Krakow
Hutnik Krakow0-2Chojniczanka Chojnice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hutnik Krakow 1503 · Chojniczanka Chojnice 1518

	Hutnik Krakow	Draw	Chojniczanka Chojnice
Our model	41%	26%	33%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Chojniczanka Chojnice: 3-2-1.
High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hutnik Krakow	Chojniczanka Chojnice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.4	1.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.7	0.9 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 7.1	2.9 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.2	4.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.50

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:12 +9’	2.20	3.50	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hutnik Krakow 1–2–3 Chojniczanka Chojnice

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Poland II Liga	Hutnik Krakow	1-1 HT 1-0	Chojniczanka Chojnice
22/10/25 Poland II Liga	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2-1 HT 1-1	Hutnik Krakow
23/03/25 Poland II Liga	Chojniczanka Chojnice	3-0 HT 1-0	Hutnik Krakow
24/08/24 Poland II Liga	Hutnik Krakow	3-2 HT 2-1	Chojniczanka Chojnice
13/04/24 Poland II Liga	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2-2 HT 1-1	Hutnik Krakow
30/09/23 Poland II Liga	Hutnik Krakow	0-2 HT 0-0	Chojniczanka Chojnice

Standings · Poland II Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	11	8	2	1	24	12	26
2	GKS Tychy 71	11	6	5	0	17	6	23
3	Gornik Leczna	11	6	2	3	21	13	20
4	Hutnik Krakow	11	5	3	3	18	14	18
5	Podhale Nowy Targ	11	5	3	3	22	20	18
6	Olimpia Grudziadz	11	5	3	3	14	16	18
7	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	11	5	2	4	16	12	17
8	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	11	4	4	3	17	14	16
9	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	11	4	4	3	15	12	16
10	Lechia Zielona Góra	11	4	3	4	20	18	15
11	Chojniczanka Chojnice	11	4	3	4	19	19	15
12	Avia Swidnik	11	4	2	5	14	17	14
13	Stal Stalowa Wola	11	4	1	6	19	23	13
14	Legia Warsaw II	10	4	0	6	20	17	12
15	Slask Wroclaw II	10	3	0	7	17	20	9
16	Sokol Kleczew	11	1	5	5	12	25	8
17	OKS Swit Skolwin	11	2	2	7	11	25	8
18	Resovia Rzeszow	11	0	4	7	7	20	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hutnik Krakow	Chojniczanka Chojnice
Sokol Kleczew	2-1 W	1-1 D
Slask Wroclaw II	0-2 L	2-1 W
Znicz Pruszków	2-4 L	1-4 L
Stal Stalowa Wola	2-1 W	2-0 W
Podhale Nowy Targ	5-2 W	2-2 D
OKS Swit Skolwin	3-0 W	5-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hutnik Krakow

WWWDWLDLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
03/10	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-1	0-2	1	5	L
20/09	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	0-1	0-2	16	4	L
12/09	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	8	5	D
06/09	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	2-1	2-4	3	8	L
29/08	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	2-1	2-1	5	3	W
23/08	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	1-0	1-1	11	3	D
16/08	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
08/08	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	2-1	5-2	4	9	W
01/08	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	2-0	3-0	10	6	W

Chojniczanka Chojnice

LLWWDDWWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	2-1	2-2	2	5	D
04/10	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	0-2	1-3	8	6	L
19/09	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	2-1	3-1	4	2	W
12/09	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	2-1	5-1	7	5	W
05/09	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	1-2	2-2	8	3	D
29/08	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	1-0	1-1	4	7	D
21/08	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
15/08	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	0-1	2-1	6	8	W
09/08	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	0-2	1-4	3	3	L
02/08	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-1	0-3	7	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hutnik Krakow vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hutnik Krakow win (41%). Probabilities: Hutnik Krakow 41%, draw 26%, Chojniczanka Chojnice 33%.

How many goals are expected in Hutnik Krakow vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Hutnik Krakow 1.63 · Chojniczanka Chojnice 1.45), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hutnik Krakow vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.