Football · Coppa Italia · 15/08, 18:00

Prediction: Catanzaro vs Sudtirol

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Catanzaro1.65
Sudtirol1.26
1X2
44% 29% 27%
Catanzaro Draw Sudtirol
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Catanzaro 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DDWLLWWLLW
Sudtirol 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DLLLDDDDWW
Head-to-head
Catanzaro 2–3–1 Sudtirol (6 last)
  • Sudtirol2-1Catanzaro
  • Catanzaro1-1Sudtirol
  • Sudtirol1-1Catanzaro
  • Catanzaro3-0Sudtirol
  • Catanzaro2-2Sudtirol
  • Sudtirol0-1Catanzaro
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Catanzaro 1497 · Sudtirol 1497
CatanzaroDrawSudtirol
Our model45%26%28%
Market43%30%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Catanzaro: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CatanzaroSudtirol
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.51.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.70.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 52.5 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.22.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Catanzaro 231 Sudtirol

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DateHomeScoreAway
31/01/26
Italy Serie B
Sudtirol2-1
HT 2-1
Catanzaro
24/08/25
Italy Serie B
Catanzaro1-1
HT 0-1
Sudtirol
12/01/25
Italy Serie B
Sudtirol1-1
HT 1-1
Catanzaro
27/10/24
Italy Serie B
Catanzaro3-0
HT 3-0
Sudtirol
17/02/24
Italy Serie B
Catanzaro2-2
HT 1-1
Sudtirol
07/10/23
Italy Serie B
Sudtirol0-1
HT 0-1
Catanzaro

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCatanzaroSudtirol
Bari 2-3 L 0-0 D
Spezia 4-2 W 1-6 L
Juve Stabia 1-1 D 1-1 D
Modena 2-2 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 1 L 0 W 3 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Catanzaro

DDWLLWWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/05 Monza
Italy Serie B
1-0 2-0 36 W
24/05 Monza
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-2 55 L
20/05 Palermo
Italy Serie B
0-1 0-2 18 L
17/05 Palermo
Italy Serie B
3-0 3-0 64 W
12/05 Avellino
Italy Serie B
1-0 3-0 61 W
08/05 Bari
Italy Serie B
1-2 2-3 82 L
01/05 Palermo
Italy Serie B
2-1 2-3 32 L
25/04 Spezia
Italy Serie B
1-1 4-2 94 W
18/04 Juve Stabia
Italy Serie B
0-1 1-1 42 D
14/04 Modena
Italy Serie B
2-1 2-2 53 D

Sudtirol

DLLLDDDDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Virtus Verona
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-0 32 W
28/07 Asc St Georgen
Europe Friendlies
2-0 7-0 100 W
25/07 Kaiserslautern
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-0 10 D
22/05 Bari
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-0 64 D
15/05 Bari
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-0 16 D
08/05 Juve Stabia
Italy Serie B
0-1 1-1 81 D
01/05 Sampdoria
Italy Serie B
0-1 0-1 24 L
25/04 Mantova
Italy Serie B
0-2 0-3 23 L
18/04 Spezia
Italy Serie B
1-3 1-6 32 L
11/04 Modena
Italy Serie B
0-1 1-1 72 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Catanzaro vs Sudtirol?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Catanzaro win (44%). Probabilities: Catanzaro 44%, draw 29%, Sudtirol 27%.

How many goals are expected in Catanzaro vs Sudtirol?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Catanzaro 1.65 · Sudtirol 1.26), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Catanzaro vs Sudtirol?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.