Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 29/08, 16:00
Prediction: Bangor FC vs Carrick Rangers
Team pages: Bangor FC · Carrick Rangers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
Bangor FC1.18
Carrick Rangers1.92
1X2
Bangor FC
Draw
Carrick Rangers
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bangor FC
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Carrick Rangers
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bangor FC
0–1–5
Carrick Rangers
(6 last)
- Bangor FC0-3Carrick Rangers
- Carrick Rangers1-1Bangor FC
- Carrick Rangers3-2Bangor FC
- Bangor FC0-1Carrick Rangers
- Carrick Rangers3-0Bangor FC
- Bangor FC0-4Carrick Rangers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bangor FC 1453 · Carrick Rangers 1570
| Bangor FC | Draw | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 24% | 54% |
| Market | 22% | 24% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carrick Rangers (rating 1453 vs 1570).
- H2H favours Carrick Rangers: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bangor FC | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.8 | 2.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.4 / 1.6 | 2 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bangor FC 0–1–5 Carrick Rangers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Bangor FC | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Carrick Rangers |
| 28/02/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Carrick Rangers | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Bangor FC |
| 03/02/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Carrick Rangers | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Bangor FC |
| 31/10/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Bangor FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Carrick Rangers |
| 02/09/25 Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield | Carrick Rangers | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Bangor FC |
| 03/09/24 Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield | Bangor FC | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Carrick Rangers |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Cliftonville | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Glentoran | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Crusaders | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Dungannon Swifts | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Linfield | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Ballymena Utd | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Larne FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Portadown | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 | Limavady United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | Bangor FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bangor FC | Carrick Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Dungannon Swifts | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Portadown | 2-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Ballymena Utd | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Glenavon | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Crusaders | 1-1 D | 6-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Carrick Rangers (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bangor FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 15/04 | Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 11/04 | Glenavon Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 07/04 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 21/03 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 10/03 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 28/02 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
Carrick Rangers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 06/05 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Glenavon Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 11/04 | Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 07/04 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 28/03 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
2-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 20/03 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bangor FC vs Carrick Rangers?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Carrick Rangers win (54%). Probabilities: Bangor FC 22%, draw 24%, Carrick Rangers 54%.
How many goals are expected in Bangor FC vs Carrick Rangers?
The model expects 3.1 goals (Bangor FC 1.18 · Carrick Rangers 1.92), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Bangor FC vs Carrick Rangers?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.