Prediction: Coleraine vs Crusaders
Team pages: Coleraine · Crusaders
- Coleraine5-1Crusaders
- Coleraine4-0Crusaders
- Crusaders0-2Coleraine
- Crusaders0-4Coleraine
- Coleraine1-0Crusaders
- Crusaders3-0Coleraine
| Coleraine | Draw | Crusaders | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| Market | 80% | 13% | 7% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coleraine (rating 1631 vs 1529).
- H2H favours Coleraine: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Coleraine | Crusaders | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 5.4 | 2.9 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coleraine 5–0–1 Crusaders
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Coleraine | 5-1 HT 0-1 | Crusaders |
| 09/01/26 Northern Ireland Cup | Coleraine | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Crusaders |
| 29/11/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Crusaders | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Coleraine |
| 06/09/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Crusaders | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Coleraine |
| 07/05/25 Northern Ireland Play-Offs | Coleraine | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Crusaders |
| 19/04/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Crusaders | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Coleraine |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | Carrick Rangers | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Dungannon Swifts | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Crusaders | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | Linfield | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Glentoran | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Cliftonville | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Ballymena Utd | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Larne FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Limavady United | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 | Portadown | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 | Bangor FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Coleraine | Crusaders |
|---|---|---|
| Portadown | 3-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Carrick Rangers | 2-0 W | 1-6 L |
| Glentoran | 6-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Cliftonville | 6-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Coleraine (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coleraine
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 3-0 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 6-2 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 11/04 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
4-2 | 6-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 07/04 | Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 21/03 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
Crusaders
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier |
3-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Glenavon Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 11/04 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
3-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 07/04 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 28/03 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
1-2 | 1-6 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/03 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coleraine vs Crusaders?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Coleraine win (79%). Probabilities: Coleraine 79%, draw 14%, Crusaders 7%.
How many goals are expected in Coleraine vs Crusaders?
The model expects 3.52 goals (Coleraine 2.76 · Crusaders 0.76), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Coleraine vs Crusaders?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.