Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 05/09, 16:00
Prediction: Cliftonville vs Portadown
Team pages: Cliftonville · Portadown
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Cliftonville1.92
Portadown1.01
1X2
Cliftonville
Draw
Portadown
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Cliftonville
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Portadown
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cliftonville
2–1–3
Portadown
(6 last)
- Portadown0-2Cliftonville
- Portadown2-3Cliftonville
- Cliftonville1-2Portadown
- Portadown2-0Cliftonville
- Cliftonville2-2Portadown
- Portadown2-0Cliftonville
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cliftonville 1478 · Portadown 1474
| Cliftonville | Draw | Portadown | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 24% | 19% |
| Market | 58% | 24% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Portadown: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cliftonville | Portadown | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.7 | 1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.7 | 1.6 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cliftonville 2–1–3 Portadown
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Portadown | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Cliftonville |
| 29/11/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Portadown | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Cliftonville |
| 27/09/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Cliftonville | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Portadown |
| 19/04/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Portadown | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Cliftonville |
| 09/02/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Cliftonville | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Portadown |
| 14/12/24 Northern Ireland Premier | Portadown | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Cliftonville |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | Carrick Rangers | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Dungannon Swifts | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Crusaders | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | Linfield | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Glentoran | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Cliftonville | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Ballymena Utd | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Larne FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Limavady United | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 | Portadown | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 | Bangor FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cliftonville | Portadown |
|---|---|---|
| Dungannon Swifts | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Bangor FC | 3-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Crusaders | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Coleraine | 2-6 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cliftonville
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 11/04 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
2-4 | 2-6 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 07/04 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 28/03 | Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
Portadown
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 07/04 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 04/04 | Glenavon Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 21/03 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cliftonville vs Portadown?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cliftonville win (58%). Probabilities: Cliftonville 58%, draw 24%, Portadown 19%.
How many goals are expected in Cliftonville vs Portadown?
The model expects 2.93 goals (Cliftonville 1.92 · Portadown 1.01), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cliftonville vs Portadown?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.