Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders

Team pages: Carrick Rangers · Crusaders

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.47Total

Carrick Rangers1.75

Crusaders1.71

1X2

39% 24% 37%

Carrick Rangers Draw Crusaders

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Carrick Rangers 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLLDLL

Crusaders 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLLWLW

Head-to-head

Carrick Rangers 2–3–1 Crusaders (6 last)

Crusaders2-2Carrick Rangers
Carrick Rangers6-1Crusaders
Crusaders2-2Carrick Rangers
Carrick Rangers1-2Crusaders
Crusaders3-4Carrick Rangers
Carrick Rangers0-0Crusaders

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Crusaders (rating 1465 vs 1514).
H2H favours Carrick Rangers: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Carrick Rangers	Crusaders
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.8	1.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.3	2 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.7	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.92

Under 31.87

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:57

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.56 → 1.56	Pinn 1.56
X	4.59 → 4.59	Pinn 4.59
2	4.62 → 4.62	Pinn 4.62

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
17:14 +463’	1.56	4.59	4.62

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Carrick Rangers 2–3–1 Crusaders

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
01/09/26 Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield	Crusaders	2-2 HT 1-0	Carrick Rangers
28/03/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Carrick Rangers	6-1 HT 2-1	Crusaders
30/12/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Crusaders	2-2 HT 1-2	Carrick Rangers
08/11/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Carrick Rangers	1-2 HT 0-1	Crusaders
09/08/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Crusaders	3-4 HT 3-2	Carrick Rangers
30/12/24 Northern Ireland Premier	Carrick Rangers	0-0 HT 0-0	Crusaders

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Coleraine	9	7	1	1	19	8	22
2	Linfield	9	7	1	1	12	6	22
3	Larne FC	6	5	1	0	12	3	16
4	Crusaders	9	5	0	4	15	14	15
5	Glentoran	9	4	1	4	13	10	13
6	Dungannon Swifts	8	4	1	3	9	8	13
7	Cliftonville	9	4	0	5	12	11	12
8	Carrick Rangers	9	3	1	5	11	15	10
9	Ballymena Utd	8	2	3	3	12	11	9
10	Limavady United	8	3	0	5	7	11	9
11	Bangor FC	9	1	2	6	8	19	5
12	Portadown	9	0	1	8	5	19	1

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Carrick Rangers	Crusaders
Glentoran	0-2 L	2-1 W
Ballymena Utd	1-1 D	2-1 W
Cliftonville	1-3 L	1-2 L
Linfield	0-1 L	0-1 L
Bangor FC	4-0 W	2-1 W
Coleraine	0-2 L	1-4 L
Limavady United	2-1 W	1-2 L
Portadown	1-0 W	3-2 W
Dungannon Swifts	1-3 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 5 L	5 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Crusaders (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carrick Rangers

LWWLWLLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	0-2	0-2	4	5	L
19/09	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	2-3	2-5	11	4	L
15/09	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
12/09	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	1-2	1-3	8	5	L
05/09	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
29/08	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	4-0	4	3	W
22/08	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-2	9	4	L
15/08	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
06/05	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	1-1	1-3	1	3	L

Crusaders

WLWWWLLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
19/09	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
15/09	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	3-0	7	6	W
12/09	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
05/09	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	0-3	1-4	1	2	L
29/08	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-1	4	5	W
22/08	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	3-2	3	3	W
15/08	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	2-1	2-1	5	4	W
07/08	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-2	0	1	L
25/04	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	3-1	3-2	2	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Carrick Rangers win (39%). Probabilities: Carrick Rangers 39%, draw 24%, Crusaders 37%.

How many goals are expected in Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders?

The model expects 3.47 goals (Carrick Rangers 1.75 · Crusaders 1.71), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.