Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Linfield vs Bangor FC

Team pages: Linfield · Bangor FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

Linfield2.32

Bangor FC0.66

1X2

74% 17% 9%

Linfield Draw Bangor FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

2-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Linfield 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWWDWW

Bangor FC 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLDLWL

Head-to-head

Linfield 5–1 Bangor FC (6 last)

Linfield1-0Bangor FC
Linfield6-1Bangor FC
Bangor FC0-1Linfield
Bangor FC0-3Linfield
Bangor FC1-4Linfield
Bangor FC2-1Linfield

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Linfield 1584 · Bangor FC 1395

	Linfield	Draw	Bangor FC
Our model	74%	18%	8%
Market	75%	16%	9%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Linfield (rating 1584 vs 1395).
H2H favours Linfield: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Linfield	Bangor FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.7	1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.1	0.3 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.9	1.4 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.4	2.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.22

X5.75

210.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.85

2 (+1.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22
X	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75
2	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:32 +17’	1.22	5.75	10.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Linfield 5–0–1 Bangor FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/01/26 Northern Ireland Cup	Linfield	1-0 HT 1-0	Bangor FC
03/01/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Linfield	6-1 HT 2-0	Bangor FC
22/11/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Bangor FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Linfield
26/09/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Bangor FC	0-3 HT 0-2	Linfield
13/07/24 Club Friendly List	Bangor FC	1-4 HT 0-4	Linfield
29/07/23 Club Friendly List	Bangor FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Linfield

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Coleraine	9	7	1	1	19	8	22
2	Linfield	9	7	1	1	12	6	22
3	Larne FC	6	5	1	0	12	3	16
4	Glentoran	10	5	1	4	15	10	16
5	Crusaders	10	5	0	5	15	18	15
6	Carrick Rangers	10	4	1	5	15	15	13
7	Dungannon Swifts	9	4	1	4	9	10	13
8	Ballymena Utd	9	3	3	3	13	11	12
9	Cliftonville	10	4	0	6	12	12	12
10	Limavady United	9	3	0	6	8	14	9
11	Bangor FC	9	1	2	6	8	19	5
12	Portadown	10	1	1	8	8	20	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Linfield	Bangor FC
Crusaders	1-0 W	1-2 L
Portadown	1-1 D	3-1 W
Dungannon Swifts	1-0 W	0-2 L
Carrick Rangers	1-0 W	0-4 L
Limavady United	2-0 W	1-3 L
Cliftonville	1-0 W	0-3 L
Glentoran	2-1 W	1-1 D
Ballymena Utd	0-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Linfield (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Linfield

WLWWWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	3-1	4	5	W
19/09	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
15/09	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
12/09	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
05/09	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
29/08	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
21/08	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
15/08	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-1	6	7	W
08/08	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-3	7	0	L
12/05	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	3-1	3	4	W

Bangor FC

LLLLDLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
19/09	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	3-1	6	5	W
15/09	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	0-3	1-3	2	2	L
12/09	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	1-1	6	1	D
08/09	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
05/09	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	0-2	2-2	4	4	D
29/08	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-4	5	3	L
22/08	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
15/08	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	0-2	0-3	1	3	L
25/04	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	1-2	2-4	1	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Linfield vs Bangor FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Linfield win (74%). Probabilities: Linfield 74%, draw 17%, Bangor FC 9%.

How many goals are expected in Linfield vs Bangor FC?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Linfield 2.32 · Bangor FC 0.66), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Linfield vs Bangor FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.