Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 04/10, 16:00

Prediction: Bangor FC vs Coleraine

Team pages: Bangor FC · Coleraine

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

Bangor FC0.78

Coleraine2.56

1X2

9% 16% 75%

Bangor FC Draw Coleraine

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

0-2 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Bangor FC 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLDLWL

Coleraine 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWWWWL

Head-to-head

Bangor FC 1–1–3 Coleraine (5 last)

Bangor FC0-2Coleraine
Coleraine2-0Bangor FC
Bangor FC2-1Coleraine
Coleraine1-1Bangor FC
Bangor FC0-5Coleraine

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bangor FC 1426 · Coleraine 1597

	Bangor FC	Draw	Coleraine
Our model	8%	16%	75%
Market	9%	15%	76%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coleraine (rating 1426 vs 1597).
H2H favours Coleraine: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bangor FC	Coleraine
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.3	2.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.2	1.1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.3	3.1 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.3	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

110.00

X6.00

21.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2)1.80

2 (-2)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
X	6.00 → 6.00	Pinn 6.43 ★
2	1.20 → 1.20	Pinn 1.22

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10% Pinnacle margin 8.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:47 +3’	10.00	6.00	1.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:12 +158’	9.47	6.43	1.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bangor FC 1–1–3 Coleraine

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Bangor FC	0-2 HT 0-2	Coleraine
12/12/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Coleraine	2-0 HT 2-0	Bangor FC
04/10/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Bangor FC	2-1 HT 2-0	Coleraine
03/10/23 Northern Ireland League Cup	Coleraine	1-1 HT 0-0	Bangor FC
14/09/21 Northern Ireland League Cup	Bangor FC	0-5 HT 0-4	Coleraine

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Coleraine	9	7	1	1	19	8	22
2	Linfield	9	7	1	1	12	6	22
3	Larne FC	6	5	1	0	12	3	16
4	Crusaders	9	5	0	4	15	14	15
5	Glentoran	9	4	1	4	13	10	13
6	Dungannon Swifts	8	4	1	3	9	8	13
7	Cliftonville	9	4	0	5	12	11	12
8	Carrick Rangers	9	3	1	5	11	15	10
9	Ballymena Utd	8	2	3	3	12	11	9
10	Limavady United	8	3	0	5	7	11	9
11	Bangor FC	9	1	2	6	8	19	5
12	Portadown	9	0	1	8	5	19	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bangor FC	Coleraine
Crusaders	1-2 L	4-1 W
Portadown	3-1 W	3-0 W
Limavady United	1-3 L	1-0 W
Glentoran	1-1 D	2-1 W
Larne FC	0-1 L	0-0 D
Ballymena Utd	2-2 D	3-2 W
Carrick Rangers	0-4 L	2-0 W
Dungannon Swifts	0-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	7 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Coleraine (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bangor FC

LLLLDLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
19/09	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	3-1	6	5	W
15/09	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	0-3	1-3	2	2	L
12/09	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	1-1	6	1	D
08/09	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
05/09	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	0-2	2-2	4	4	D
29/08	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-4	5	3	L
22/08	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
15/08	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	0-2	0-3	1	3	L
25/04	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	1-2	2-4	1	0	L

Coleraine

WWDWWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	0-2	1-3	3	5	L
19/09	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
15/09	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	2-1	3	6	W
11/09	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	3-2	8	3	W
05/09	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	3-0	4-1	4	2	W
28/08	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	3-0	13	2	W
22/08	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	2-0	1	4	W
15/08	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	3-1	10	2	W
25/04	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	6-2	0	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bangor FC vs Coleraine?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Coleraine win (75%). Probabilities: Bangor FC 9%, draw 16%, Coleraine 75%.

How many goals are expected in Bangor FC vs Coleraine?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Bangor FC 0.78 · Coleraine 2.56), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bangor FC vs Coleraine?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.