Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 10/10, 16:00
Prediction: Coleraine vs Cliftonville
Team pages: Coleraine · Cliftonville
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
Coleraine2.17
Cliftonville0.93
1X2
Coleraine
Draw
Cliftonville
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Coleraine
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Cliftonville
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Coleraine
2–2–2
Cliftonville
(6 last)
- Coleraine6-2Cliftonville
- Coleraine1-0Cliftonville
- Cliftonville1-0Coleraine
- Cliftonville0-0Coleraine
- Coleraine0-2Cliftonville
- Coleraine2-2Cliftonville
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coleraine 1604 · Cliftonville 1462
| Coleraine | Draw | Cliftonville | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 21% | 14% |
| Market | 65% | 20% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.1 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coleraine (rating 1604 vs 1462).
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Coleraine | Cliftonville | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.2 | 2.3 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coleraine 2–2–2 Cliftonville
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Coleraine | 6-2 HT 4-2 | Cliftonville |
| 14/03/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Coleraine | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cliftonville |
| 22/11/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Cliftonville | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Coleraine |
| 16/08/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Cliftonville | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Coleraine |
| 11/05/25 Northern Ireland Play-Offs | Coleraine | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Cliftonville |
| 18/03/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Coleraine | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Cliftonville |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Linfield | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 22 |
| 3 | Larne FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Glentoran | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Crusaders | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 15 |
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 13 |
| 7 | Dungannon Swifts | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 13 |
| 8 | Ballymena Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| 9 | Cliftonville | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| 10 | Limavady United | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 9 |
| 11 | Bangor FC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 5 |
| 12 | Portadown | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 4 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Coleraine | Cliftonville |
|---|---|---|
| Linfield | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Limavady United | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Glentoran | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Ballymena Utd | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Crusaders | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Portadown | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Carrick Rangers | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Larne FC | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Dungannon Swifts | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 7 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Coleraine (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coleraine
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 15/09 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 11/09 | Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/08 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 3-0 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 6-2 | 0 | 0 | W |
Cliftonville
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 26/09 | Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/09 | Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coleraine vs Cliftonville?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Coleraine win (65%). Probabilities: Coleraine 65%, draw 20%, Cliftonville 14%.
How many goals are expected in Coleraine vs Cliftonville?
The model expects 3.1 goals (Coleraine 2.17 · Cliftonville 0.93), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Coleraine vs Cliftonville?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.