Prediction: Portadown vs Coleraine

Team pages: Portadown · Coleraine

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.15Total
Portadown0.84
Coleraine2.32
1X2
11% 19% 70%
Portadown Draw Coleraine
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Portadown 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LDDDLWWLLL
Coleraine 8-2-0 (W-D-L)
WDWWWWWWDW
Head-to-head
Portadown 0–6 Coleraine (6 last)
  • Coleraine3-0Portadown
  • Coleraine2-1Portadown
  • Portadown0-2Coleraine
  • Portadown1-4Coleraine
  • Coleraine1-0Portadown
  • Coleraine2-0Portadown
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Portadown 1469 · Coleraine 1627
PortadownDrawColeraine
Our model11%19%70%
Market11%19%70%
Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coleraine (rating 1469 vs 1627).
  • H2H favours Coleraine: 6-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PortadownColeraine
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.72.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.81.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.42.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.41.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Portadown 006 Coleraine

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
18/07/26
UK Friendlies
Coleraine3-0
HT 0-0
Portadown
10/02/26
Northern Ireland Premier
Coleraine2-1
HT 0-1
Portadown
25/10/25
Northern Ireland Premier
Portadown0-2
HT 0-0
Coleraine
13/09/25
Northern Ireland Premier
Portadown1-4
HT 0-1
Coleraine
22/03/25
Northern Ireland Premier
Coleraine1-0
HT 0-0
Portadown
01/03/25
Northern Ireland Premier
Coleraine2-0
HT 1-0
Portadown

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Coleraine 3210 517
2 Cliftonville 3201 526
2 Glentoran 3201 526
4 Crusaders 3201 656
5 Dungannon Swifts 3201 436
6 Carrick Rangers 3201 336
7 Linfield 3201 346
8 Ballymena Utd 3102 443
9 Larne FC 1010 001
10 Portadown 3003 250
11 Limavady United 2002 140
12 Bangor FC 2002 050

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPortadownColeraine
Dungannon Swifts 0-1 L 3-1 W
Carrick Rangers 0-1 L 2-0 W
Linfield 1-3 L 3-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 3 L 3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Coleraine (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Portadown

LDDDLWWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Crusaders
Northern Ireland Premier
0-2 2-3 33 L
15/08 Dungannon Swifts
Northern Ireland Premier
0-1 0-1 37 L
08/08 Carrick Rangers
Northern Ireland Premier
0-0 0-1 37 L
25/04 Bangor FC
Northern Ireland Premier
2-1 4-2 40 W
18/04 Ballymena Utd
Northern Ireland Premier
1-0 2-1 41 W
11/04 Crusaders
Northern Ireland Premier
0-3 0-4 53 L
07/04 Carrick Rangers
Northern Ireland Premier
1-0 1-1 43 D
04/04 Glenavon
Northern Ireland Premier
1-0 1-1 29 D
21/03 Crusaders
Northern Ireland Premier
0-0 0-0 D
10/03 Linfield
Northern Ireland Premier
1-1 1-3 33 L

Coleraine

WDWWWWWWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Carrick Rangers
Northern Ireland Premier
0-0 2-0 14 W
15/08 Larne FC
Northern Ireland Premier
0-0 0-0 D
08/08 Dungannon Swifts
Northern Ireland Premier
1-0 3-1 102 W
25/04 Glentoran
Northern Ireland Premier
2-0 6-2 00 W
18/04 Linfield
Northern Ireland Premier
2-0 3-0 80 W
11/04 Cliftonville
Northern Ireland Premier
4-2 6-2 63 W
07/04 Larne FC
Northern Ireland Premier
1-1 4-1 23 W
28/03 Dungannon Swifts
Northern Ireland Premier
1-1 2-1 60 W
21/03 Glentoran
Northern Ireland Premier
1-0 1-1 31 D
14/03 Cliftonville
Northern Ireland Premier
0-0 1-0 43 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Portadown vs Coleraine?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Coleraine win (70%). Probabilities: Portadown 11%, draw 19%, Coleraine 70%.

How many goals are expected in Portadown vs Coleraine?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Portadown 0.84 · Coleraine 2.32), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Portadown vs Coleraine?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.