Football · Northern Ireland Championship · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: Dundela vs Queens University

Team pages: Dundela · Queens University

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

Dundela1.38

Queens University1.62

1X2

32% 26% 42%

Dundela Draw Queens University

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Dundela 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DDDDLLWDDW

Queens University 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWWWLL

Head-to-head

Dundela 2–3–1 Queens University (6 last)

Dundela1-1Queens University
Queens University1-1Dundela
Dundela1-3Queens University
Queens University1-2Dundela
Dundela2-0Queens University
Queens University0-0Dundela

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dundela 1498 · Queens University 1541

	Dundela	Draw	Queens University
Our model	31%	26%	42%
Market	32%	26%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Queens University (rating 1498 vs 1541).
H2H favours Dundela: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dundela	Queens University
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2	1.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	57/43/0%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.3	1.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.50

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:28 +14’	2.80	3.50	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dundela 2–3–1 Queens University

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 Northern Ireland Championship	Dundela	1-1 HT 1-0	Queens University
01/11/25 Northern Ireland Championship	Queens University	1-1 HT 0-0	Dundela
16/08/25 Northern Ireland Championship	Dundela	1-3 HT 1-0	Queens University
19/04/22 Northern Ireland Championship	Queens University	1-2	Dundela
12/02/22 Northern Ireland Championship	Dundela	2-0 HT 1-0	Queens University
20/11/21 Northern Ireland Championship	Queens University	0-0	Dundela

Standings · Northern Ireland Championship

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Newington FC	9	6	2	1	24	11	20
2	Annagh United	9	6	2	1	23	12	20
3	Glenavon	9	5	2	2	22	13	17
4	Queens University	9	5	1	3	18	7	16
5	HW Welders	9	5	0	4	17	13	15
6	Newry City	9	4	3	2	15	16	15
7	Warrenpoint Town	9	4	1	4	17	14	13
8	Ballinamallard Utd	9	4	1	4	15	15	13
9	Institute	9	4	1	4	13	17	13
10	Dundela	9	2	5	2	18	18	11
11	Ards FC	9	3	2	4	11	12	11
12	Moyola Park	9	3	2	4	10	17	11
13	Loughgall	9	2	4	3	12	18	10
14	Strabane Athletic	9	2	2	5	10	19	8
15	Armagh City	9	0	4	5	8	16	4
16	Rathfriland Rangers	9	1	0	8	6	21	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dundela	Queens University
Armagh City	2-0 W	1-1 D
Strabane Athletic	1-1 D	6-0 W
Newington FC	5-5 D	1-2 L
HW Welders	0-2 L	2-1 W
Ards FC	2-2 D	3-0 W
Moyola Park	2-2 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dundela

DDDDLLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Armagh City Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	2-0	2	4	W
18/09	Strabane Athletic Northern Ireland Championship	1-0	1-1	8	4	D
12/09	Newington FC Northern Ireland Championship	–	5-5	–	–	D
05/09	Glenavon Northern Ireland Championship	2-1	3-2	2	3	W
28/08	HW Welders Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	0-2	2	7	L
22/08	Ballinamallard Utd Northern Ireland Championship	–	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Annagh United Northern Ireland Championship	2-1	2-2	5	6	D
11/08	Ards FC Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	2-2	5	4	D
08/08	Moyola Park Northern Ireland Championship	1-0	2-2	6	6	D
25/04	Ballinamallard Utd Northern Ireland Championship	–	2-2	–	–	D

Queens University

WDWLWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Moyola Park Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
19/09	Rathfriland Rangers Northern Ireland Championship	–	0-1	–	–	L
12/09	Loughgall Northern Ireland Championship	–	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Strabane Athletic Northern Ireland Championship	–	6-0	–	–	W
28/08	Ards FC Northern Ireland Championship	2-0	3-0	1	7	W
22/08	Institute Northern Ireland Championship	1-1	4-1	5	4	W
15/08	Newington FC Northern Ireland Championship	0-2	1-2	4	3	L
11/08	HW Welders Northern Ireland Championship	2-1	2-1	3	1	W
08/08	Armagh City Northern Ireland Championship	–	1-1	–	–	D
24/04	Limavady United Northern Ireland Championship	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dundela vs Queens University?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Queens University win (42%). Probabilities: Dundela 32%, draw 26%, Queens University 42%.

How many goals are expected in Dundela vs Queens University?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Dundela 1.38 · Queens University 1.62), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Dundela vs Queens University?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.