Football · Northern Ireland Championship · 10/10, 18:30

Prediction: Annagh United vs Glenavon

Team pages: Annagh United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.49Total

Annagh United1.83

Glenavon1.66

1X2

41% 25% 34%

Annagh United Draw Glenavon

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Annagh United 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

LWDWWWWDWD

Glenavon 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDWLDWWW

Head-to-head

Annagh United 0–1–2 Glenavon (3 last)

Annagh United1-4Glenavon
Glenavon2-1Annagh United
Glenavon3-3Annagh United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Annagh United 1569 · Glenavon 1561

	Annagh United	Draw	Glenavon
Our model	41%	24%	35%
Market	40%	26%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Glenavon: 2-1-0.
High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Annagh United	Glenavon
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.3	2.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/43/29%	33/0/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5	3 / 7.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.1	4.7 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.50

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 07:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.25▲	Pinn 2.37 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.51
2	2.88 → 2.70▼	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.1% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
21:54 +5’	2.10	3.50	2.88
07:53 +5’	2.25▲	3.50	2.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:43 +8’	2.13	3.29	2.85
06:53 +65’	2.37▲	3.51▲	2.39▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Annagh United 0–1–2 Glenavon

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
08/07/23 UK Friendlies	Annagh United	1-4 HT 1-0	Glenavon
06/08/22 Club Friendly List	Glenavon	2-1 HT 0-0	Annagh United
15/09/15 Northern Ireland League Cup	Glenavon	3-3 HT 2-1	Annagh United

Standings · Northern Ireland Championship

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Annagh United	10	6	3	1	24	13	21
2	Glenavon	10	6	2	2	25	13	20
3	Newington FC	11	6	2	3	24	20	20
4	Queens University	10	6	1	3	20	7	19
5	Newry City	11	5	3	3	19	19	18
6	Institute	10	5	1	4	20	17	16
7	HW Welders	10	5	0	5	18	16	15
8	Ards FC	11	4	3	4	14	13	15
9	Warrenpoint Town	10	4	2	4	18	15	14
10	Ballinamallard Utd	10	4	2	4	16	16	14
11	Loughgall	10	3	4	3	14	19	13
12	Dundela	11	2	5	4	19	23	11
13	Moyola Park	10	3	2	5	10	20	11
14	Strabane Athletic	10	2	3	5	10	19	9
15	Rathfriland Rangers	11	3	0	8	11	23	9
16	Armagh City	11	0	5	6	9	18	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Annagh United	Glenavon
Newry City	1-1 D	4-1 W
Ards FC	2-1 W	1-3 L
Ballinamallard Utd	3-1 W	1-1 D
Moyola Park	2-0 W	3-0 W
Dundela	2-2 D	2-3 L
Rathfriland Rangers	4-2 W	3-1 W
Newington FC	1-4 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Annagh United

LWDWWWWDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Warrenpoint Town Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
26/09	Institute Northern Ireland Championship	3-0	5-0	7	7	W
18/09	Newry City Northern Ireland Championship	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
12/09	HW Welders Northern Ireland Championship	0-1	3-1	6	7	W
04/09	Ards FC Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	2-1	4	7	W
29/08	Ballinamallard Utd Northern Ireland Championship	–	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	Moyola Park Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	2-0	5	6	W
15/08	Dundela Northern Ireland Championship	1-2	2-2	6	6	D
11/08	Rathfriland Rangers Northern Ireland Championship	–	4-2	–	–	W
08/08	Newington FC Northern Ireland Championship	–	1-4	–	–	L

Glenavon

LWWDWLDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Moyola Park Northern Ireland Championship	–	3-0	–	–	W
25/09	Loughgall Northern Ireland Championship	0-1	4-1	5	8	W
19/09	Newington FC Northern Ireland Championship	–	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	Ballinamallard Utd Northern Ireland Championship	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	Dundela Northern Ireland Championship	1-2	2-3	12	3	L
28/08	Rathfriland Rangers Northern Ireland Championship	2-0	3-1	6	5	W
22/08	Armagh City Northern Ireland Championship	–	2-2	–	–	D
15/08	Strabane Athletic Northern Ireland Championship	–	4-1	–	–	W
11/08	Newry City Northern Ireland Championship	–	4-1	–	–	W
08/08	Ards FC Northern Ireland Championship	–	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Annagh United vs Glenavon?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Annagh United win (41%). Probabilities: Annagh United 41%, draw 25%, Glenavon 34%.

How many goals are expected in Annagh United vs Glenavon?

The model expects 3.49 goals (Annagh United 1.83 · Glenavon 1.66), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Annagh United vs Glenavon?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.