Football · Northern Ireland Championship · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Queens University vs Ballinamallard Utd

Team pages: Queens University · Ballinamallard Utd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Queens University1.69

Ballinamallard Utd1.15

1X2

49% 26% 25%

Queens University Draw Ballinamallard Utd

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Queens University 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWWLLW

Ballinamallard Utd 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWDWLD

Head-to-head

Queens University 1–1–4 Ballinamallard Utd (6 last)

Ballinamallard Utd1-1Queens University
Queens University0-3Ballinamallard Utd
Ballinamallard Utd0-3Queens University
Ballinamallard Utd5-0Queens University
Ballinamallard Utd3-0Queens University
Queens University0-2Ballinamallard Utd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Queens University 1527 · Ballinamallard Utd 1522

	Queens University	Draw	Ballinamallard Utd
Our model	49%	26%	25%
Market	50%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Ballinamallard Utd: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Queens University	Ballinamallard Utd
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.7	1.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/50/17%	25/25/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.2	2.3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.3	3.8 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.60

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:22 +13’	1.80	3.60	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Queens University 1–1–4 Ballinamallard Utd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/12/25 Northern Ireland Championship	Ballinamallard Utd	1-1 HT 1-0	Queens University
15/11/25 Northern Ireland Championship	Queens University	0-3 HT 0-3	Ballinamallard Utd
27/09/25 Northern Ireland Championship	Ballinamallard Utd	0-3	Queens University
01/01/22 Northern Ireland Championship	Ballinamallard Utd	5-0	Queens University
06/11/21 Northern Ireland Championship	Ballinamallard Utd	3-0	Queens University
14/08/21 Northern Ireland Championship	Queens University	0-2 HT 0-1	Ballinamallard Utd

Standings · Northern Ireland Championship

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Annagh United	10	6	3	1	24	13	21
2	Glenavon	10	6	2	2	25	13	20
3	Newington FC	10	6	2	2	24	18	20
4	Queens University	10	6	1	3	20	7	19
5	Institute	10	5	1	4	20	17	16
6	HW Welders	10	5	0	5	18	16	15
7	Newry City	10	4	3	3	16	18	15
8	Warrenpoint Town	10	4	2	4	18	15	14
9	Ballinamallard Utd	10	4	2	4	16	16	14
10	Loughgall	10	3	4	3	14	19	13
11	Ards FC	10	3	3	4	12	13	12
12	Dundela	10	2	5	3	18	20	11
13	Moyola Park	10	3	2	5	10	20	11
14	Strabane Athletic	10	2	3	5	10	19	9
15	Rathfriland Rangers	10	2	0	8	9	22	6
16	Armagh City	10	0	5	5	8	16	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Queens University	Ballinamallard Utd
Dundela	2-0 W	2-1 W
Moyola Park	0-1 L	0-2 L
Loughgall	1-0 W	6-1 W
Ards FC	3-0 W	1-1 D
Institute	4-1 W	2-1 W
Newington FC	1-2 L	0-4 L
HW Welders	2-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Queens University (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Queens University

DWLWWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Dundela Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
26/09	Moyola Park Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
19/09	Rathfriland Rangers Northern Ireland Championship	–	0-1	–	–	L
12/09	Loughgall Northern Ireland Championship	–	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Strabane Athletic Northern Ireland Championship	–	6-0	–	–	W
28/08	Ards FC Northern Ireland Championship	2-0	3-0	1	7	W
22/08	Institute Northern Ireland Championship	1-1	4-1	5	4	W
15/08	Newington FC Northern Ireland Championship	0-2	1-2	4	3	L
11/08	HW Welders Northern Ireland Championship	2-1	2-1	3	1	W
08/08	Armagh City Northern Ireland Championship	–	1-1	–	–	D

Ballinamallard Utd

LWLWLWDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Ards FC Northern Ireland Championship	0-1	1-1	10	6	D
26/09	Newington FC Northern Ireland Championship	0-3	0-4	3	2	L
19/09	HW Welders Northern Ireland Championship	–	3-1	–	–	W
12/09	Glenavon Northern Ireland Championship	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	Loughgall Northern Ireland Championship	1-0	6-1	5	3	W
29/08	Annagh United Northern Ireland Championship	–	1-3	–	–	L
22/08	Dundela Northern Ireland Championship	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Moyola Park Northern Ireland Championship	–	0-2	–	–	L
11/08	Institute Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	2-1	4	6	W
08/08	Newry City Northern Ireland Championship	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Queens University vs Ballinamallard Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Queens University win (49%). Probabilities: Queens University 49%, draw 26%, Ballinamallard Utd 25%.

How many goals are expected in Queens University vs Ballinamallard Utd?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Queens University 1.69 · Ballinamallard Utd 1.15), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Queens University vs Ballinamallard Utd?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.