Football · Northern Ireland Championship · 11/08, 20:45
Prediction: Moyola Park vs Strabane Athletic
Team pages: Moyola Park
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.13Total
Moyola Park1.65
Strabane Athletic1.48
1X2
Moyola Park
Draw
Strabane Athletic
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Moyola Park
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Strabane Athletic
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Moyola Park
1–0
Strabane Athletic
(1 last)
- Moyola Park4-1Strabane Athletic
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moyola Park 1515 · Strabane Athletic 1495
| Moyola Park | Draw | Strabane Athletic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 26% | 34% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Moyola Park | Strabane Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 33/22/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.9 | 2.4 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Moyola Park 1–0–0 Strabane Athletic
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/26 Northern Ireland Premier Intermediate League | Moyola Park | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Strabane Athletic |
Standings · Northern Ireland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newington FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | HW Welders | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ards FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Loughgall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Institute | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Newry City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Dundela | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Moyola Park | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Armagh City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Queens University | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Ballinamallard Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | Strabane Athletic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Glenavon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Rathfriland Rangers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Annagh United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Warrenpoint Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Moyola Park | Strabane Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Ballymena Utd | 1-3 L | 0-6 L |
| Dergview FC | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Ballyclare Comrades | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moyola Park
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Dundela Northern Ireland Championship |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 25/07 | Crusaders UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 14/07 | Cliftonville UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 10/07 | Ballymena Utd UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 14/04 | Dergview FC Northern Ireland Premier Intermediate League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 01/04 | Crumlin Star Northern Ireland Intermediate Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/03 | St. James Swifts Northern Ireland Intermediate Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 03/02 | Strabane Athletic Northern Ireland Premier Intermediate League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 20/01 | Dergview FC Northern Ireland Premier Intermediate League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/01 | Ballyclare Comrades Northern Ireland Premier Intermediate League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
Strabane Athletic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Institute Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Limavady United UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Ballymena Utd UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 01/05 | Coagh Utd Northern Ireland Premier Intermediate League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 28/04 | Lisburn Distillery Northern Ireland Premier Intermediate League |
1-2 | 4-4 | – | – | D |
| 21/04 | Dergview FC Northern Ireland Premier Intermediate League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Portstewart Northern Ireland Premier Intermediate League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/04 | Ballyclare Comrades Northern Ireland Premier Intermediate League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 07/02 | Dollingstown Northern Ireland Premier Intermediate League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 03/02 | Moyola Park Northern Ireland Premier Intermediate League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moyola Park vs Strabane Athletic?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Moyola Park win (40%). Probabilities: Moyola Park 40%, draw 27%, Strabane Athletic 33%.
How many goals are expected in Moyola Park vs Strabane Athletic?
The model expects 3.13 goals (Moyola Park 1.65 · Strabane Athletic 1.48), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Moyola Park vs Strabane Athletic?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.