Football · Northern Ireland Championship · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Newington FC vs Queens University
Team pages: Newington FC · Queens University
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
Newington FC1.75
Queens University1.31
1X2
Newington FC
Draw
Queens University
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Newington FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Queens University
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Newington FC
3–1–2
Queens University
(6 last)
- Queens University0-2Newington FC
- Newington FC2-0Queens University
- Newington FC2-0Queens University
- Queens University0-0Newington FC
- Queens University2-0Newington FC
- Queens University1-0Newington FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Newington FC 1534 · Queens University 1560
| Newington FC | Draw | Queens University | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 26% | 28% |
| Market | 47% | 25% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Newington FC: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Newington FC | Queens University | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.7 | 2.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.7 | 1.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/33/17% | 100/0/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.6 | 1.5 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.4 | 1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Newington FC 3–1–2 Queens University
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Northern Ireland Championship | Queens University | 0-2 | Newington FC |
| 28/02/26 Northern Ireland Championship | Newington FC | 2-0 | Queens University |
| 26/12/25 Northern Ireland Championship | Newington FC | 2-0 | Queens University |
| 09/08/25 Northern Ireland Championship | Queens University | 0-0 | Newington FC |
| 08/01/22 Northern Ireland Cup | Queens University | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Newington FC |
| 28/03/17 Northern Ireland Premier Intermediate League | Queens University | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Newington FC |
Standings · Northern Ireland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newington FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Ards FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Loughgall | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Queens University | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | HW Welders | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Glenavon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Strabane Athletic | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Ballinamallard Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Institute | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Annagh United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 11 | Warrenpoint Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Newry City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Dundela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 14 | Moyola Park | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 15 | Armagh City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Rathfriland Rangers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Newington FC | Queens University |
|---|---|---|
| Loughgall | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Annagh United | 4-1 W | 4-0 W |
| HW Welders | 2-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Limavady United | 1-5 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Queens University (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Newington FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Loughgall Northern Ireland Championship |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 08/08 | Annagh United Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/07 | Crusaders UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 11/07 | Ballymacash Rangers Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Bangor FC UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 24/04 | Loughgall Northern Ireland Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | HW Welders Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Limavady United Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 04/04 | Queens University Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/03 | Annagh United Northern Ireland Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Queens University
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | HW Welders Northern Ireland Championship |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Armagh City Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/07 | Ballyclare Comrades UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/04 | Limavady United Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Loughgall Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Annagh United Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | Newington FC Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | HW Welders Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 21/03 | Armagh City Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 8-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/03 | Institute Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Newington FC vs Queens University?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Newington FC win (47%). Probabilities: Newington FC 47%, draw 25%, Queens University 28%.
How many goals are expected in Newington FC vs Queens University?
The model expects 3.06 goals (Newington FC 1.75 · Queens University 1.31), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Newington FC vs Queens University?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.