Football · Northern Ireland Championship · 11/08, 20:45
Prediction: Queens University vs HW Welders
Team pages: HW Welders
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.14Total
Queens University1.19
HW Welders1.95
1X2
Queens University
Draw
HW Welders
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Queens University
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
HW Welders
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Queens University
2–2–2
HW Welders
(6 last)
- HW Welders2-3Queens University
- Queens University2-2HW Welders
- HW Welders1-1Queens University
- Queens University0-3HW Welders
- HW Welders1-2Queens University
- Queens University1-2HW Welders
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Queens University 1545 · HW Welders 1479
| Queens University | Draw | HW Welders | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 24% | 54% |
| Market | 22% | 23% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.14 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Queens University (rating 1545 vs 1479).
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Queens University | HW Welders | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.9 | 1.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 100/0/0% | 38/25/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 7 | 1.8 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0 | 0.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Queens University 2–2–2 HW Welders
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Northern Ireland Championship | HW Welders | 2-3 | Queens University |
| 17/01/26 Northern Ireland Championship | Queens University | 2-2 HT 2-2 | HW Welders |
| 22/11/25 Northern Ireland Championship | HW Welders | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Queens University |
| 30/08/25 Northern Ireland Championship | Queens University | 0-3 HT 0-2 | HW Welders |
| 22/01/22 Northern Ireland Championship | HW Welders | 1-2 | Queens University |
| 23/10/21 Northern Ireland Championship | Queens University | 1-2 | HW Welders |
Standings · Northern Ireland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newington FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | HW Welders | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ards FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Loughgall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Institute | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Newry City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Dundela | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Moyola Park | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Armagh City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Queens University | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Ballinamallard Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | Strabane Athletic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Glenavon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Rathfriland Rangers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Annagh United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Warrenpoint Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Queens University | HW Welders |
|---|---|---|
| Loughgall | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Annagh United | 4-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Newington FC | 0-2 L | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Queens University
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Armagh City Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/07 | Ballyclare Comrades UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/04 | Limavady United Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Loughgall Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Annagh United Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | Newington FC Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | HW Welders Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 21/03 | Armagh City Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 8-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/03 | Institute Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/03 | Limavady United Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
HW Welders
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Warrenpoint Town Northern Ireland Championship |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Dungannon Swifts UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 21/07 | Portadown UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | Carrick Rangers UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 09/07 | Dergview FC UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 29/06 | Larne FC UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 26/06 | T.N.S. Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 24/04 | Annagh United Northern Ireland Championship |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Newington FC Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Loughgall Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Queens University vs HW Welders?
According to our model, the most likely result is an HW Welders win (54%). Probabilities: Queens University 22%, draw 23%, HW Welders 54%.
How many goals are expected in Queens University vs HW Welders?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Queens University 1.19 · HW Welders 1.95), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Queens University vs HW Welders?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.