Football · Northern Ireland Championship · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Dundela vs Annagh United
Team pages: Dundela
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
Dundela1.09
Annagh United1.87
1X2
Dundela
Draw
Annagh United
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Dundela
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Annagh United
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dundela
0–2–4
Annagh United
(6 last)
- Annagh United1-1Dundela
- Annagh United2-1Dundela
- Dundela0-3Annagh United
- Annagh United2-0Dundela
- Dundela0-1Annagh United
- Annagh United0-0Dundela
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dundela 1466 · Annagh United 1459
| Dundela | Draw | Annagh United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 25% | 54% |
| Market | 22% | 23% | 55% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Annagh United: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dundela | Annagh United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/17/50% | 33/0/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 4.8 | 1.4 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 1.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dundela 0–2–4 Annagh United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Northern Ireland Championship | Annagh United | 1-1 | Dundela |
| 13/12/25 Northern Ireland Championship | Annagh United | 2-1 | Dundela |
| 06/09/25 Northern Ireland Championship | Dundela | 0-3 | Annagh United |
| 05/04/25 Northern Ireland Championship | Annagh United | 2-0 | Dundela |
| 18/03/25 Northern Ireland Championship | Dundela | 0-1 | Annagh United |
| 25/10/24 Northern Ireland Championship | Annagh United | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Dundela |
Standings · Northern Ireland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newington FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Ards FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Loughgall | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Queens University | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | HW Welders | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Glenavon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Strabane Athletic | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Ballinamallard Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Institute | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Annagh United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 11 | Warrenpoint Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Newry City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Dundela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 14 | Moyola Park | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 15 | Armagh City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Rathfriland Rangers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dundela
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Ards FC Northern Ireland Championship |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Moyola Park Northern Ireland Championship |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Crusaders UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Bangor FC UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | Stranraer Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Ballinamallard Utd Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Armagh City Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Warrenpoint Town Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | Ards FC Northern Ireland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Institute Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Annagh United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Rathfriland Rangers Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Newington FC Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Ballymena Utd UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 07/07 | Dungannon Swifts UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 01/05 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier Play-Offs |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 28/04 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Play-Offs |
2-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/04 | HW Welders Northern Ireland Championship |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Limavady United Northern Ireland Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Queens University Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 04/04 | Loughgall Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dundela vs Annagh United?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Annagh United win (55%). Probabilities: Dundela 21%, draw 24%, Annagh United 55%.
How many goals are expected in Dundela vs Annagh United?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Dundela 1.09 · Annagh United 1.87), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Dundela vs Annagh United?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.