Football · Northern Ireland Championship · 06/11, 20:45

Prediction: Strabane Athletic vs Annagh United

Team pages: Strabane Athletic · Annagh United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

Strabane Athletic0.98

Annagh United2.24

1X2

14% 21% 65%

Strabane Athletic Draw Annagh United

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

0-2 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Strabane Athletic 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

LLDDWDLDLD

Annagh United 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWWDWDDWWW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Strabane Athletic 1447 · Annagh United 1583

	Strabane Athletic	Draw	Annagh United
Our model	14%	21%	65%
Market	14%	21%	65%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Annagh United (rating 1447 vs 1583).
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Strabane Athletic	Annagh United
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.6	2.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/71/29%	56/33/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.1	3.2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	5.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

16.25

X4.20

21.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.88

2 (-1.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.25 → 6.25▲	Bet365 6.25
X	4.00 → 4.20▲	Bet365 4.20
2	1.48 → 1.38▼	Bet365 1.38

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
09:55 +11’	5.25	4.00	1.48
11:01 +7’	6.25▲	4.20▲	1.38▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Northern Ireland Championship

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Annagh United	14	9	4	1	36	16	31
2	Glenavon	13	8	3	2	34	16	27
3	Newington FC	13	8	2	3	29	22	26
4	Institute	13	6	3	4	23	18	21
5	Ballinamallard Utd	14	6	3	5	20	19	21
6	Queens University	14	6	2	6	24	18	20
7	Newry City	14	5	5	4	21	23	20
8	Warrenpoint Town	12	5	3	4	21	17	18
9	Ards FC	14	4	5	5	16	17	17
10	Loughgall	14	4	5	5	18	26	17
11	HW Welders	13	5	1	7	19	22	16
12	Moyola Park	13	4	3	6	15	25	15
13	Rathfriland Rangers	13	4	1	8	14	25	13
14	Dundela	12	2	5	5	19	24	11
15	Strabane Athletic	14	2	5	7	13	24	11
16	Armagh City	14	1	6	7	12	22	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Strabane Athletic	Annagh United
Ballinamallard Utd	0-1 L	3-1 W
Loughgall	1-1 D	3-0 W
Warrenpoint Town	0-1 L	1-1 D
Armagh City	0-0 D	3-1 W
Ards FC	1-0 W	2-1 W
Newry City	2-2 D	1-1 D
Queens University	0-6 L	5-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 3 L	5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Annagh United (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Strabane Athletic

LLDDWDLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Rathfriland Rangers Northern Ireland Championship	0-1	2-2	1	4	D
23/10	Ballinamallard Utd Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
16/10	Loughgall Northern Ireland Championship	–	1-1	–	–	D
10/10	Warrenpoint Town Northern Ireland Championship	–	0-1	–	–	L
02/10	Armagh City Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
26/09	Ards FC Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
18/09	Dundela Northern Ireland Championship	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
11/09	Newry City Northern Ireland Championship	2-2	2-2	7	4	D
05/09	Queens University Northern Ireland Championship	–	0-6	–	–	L
28/08	Newington FC Northern Ireland Championship	1-1	1-2	3	4	L

Annagh United

WWWDWDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Loughgall Northern Ireland Championship	1-0	3-0	4	7	W
24/10	Queens University Northern Ireland Championship	1-0	5-1	7	0	W
17/10	Armagh City Northern Ireland Championship	1-0	3-1	9	2	W
10/10	Glenavon Northern Ireland Championship	1-1	1-1	3	9	D
03/10	Warrenpoint Town Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
26/09	Institute Northern Ireland Championship	3-0	5-0	7	7	W
18/09	Newry City Northern Ireland Championship	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
12/09	HW Welders Northern Ireland Championship	0-1	3-1	6	7	W
04/09	Ards FC Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	2-1	4	7	W
29/08	Ballinamallard Utd Northern Ireland Championship	–	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Strabane Athletic vs Annagh United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Annagh United win (65%). Probabilities: Strabane Athletic 14%, draw 21%, Annagh United 65%.

How many goals are expected in Strabane Athletic vs Annagh United?

The model expects 3.22 goals (Strabane Athletic 0.98 · Annagh United 2.24), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Strabane Athletic vs Annagh United?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.