Football · Northern Ireland Championship · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Loughgall vs Annagh United

Team pages: Loughgall · Annagh United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

Loughgall1.54

Annagh United1.65

1X2

35% 26% 39%

Loughgall Draw Annagh United

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Loughgall 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDLLDLWLDW

Annagh United 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWDWDDWW

Head-to-head

Loughgall 2–3–1 Annagh United (6 last)

Annagh United1-1Loughgall
Loughgall3-0Annagh United
Loughgall2-3Annagh United
Annagh United1-1Loughgall
Annagh United0-1Loughgall
Annagh United0-0Loughgall

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Loughgall 1508 · Annagh United 1568

	Loughgall	Draw	Annagh United
Our model	35%	26%	39%
Market	35%	26%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Annagh United (rating 1508 vs 1568).
H2H favours Loughgall: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Loughgall	Annagh United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2	2.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/43/29%	44/44/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.1	3.3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.6	5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.40

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.60▼	Pinn 2.85 ★
X	3.50 → 3.40▼	Bet365 3.40
2	2.15 → 2.30▲	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:11 +15’	2.75	3.50	2.15
06:03 +9’	2.60▼	3.40▼	2.30▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:14 +26’	2.62	3.16	2.38
05:44 +27’	2.64▲	3.17▲	2.36▼
08:20 +4’	2.75▲	3.17	2.28▼
08:54 +72’	2.85▲	3.17	2.21▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Loughgall 2–3–1 Annagh United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Northern Ireland Championship	Annagh United	1-1	Loughgall
17/01/26 Northern Ireland Championship	Loughgall	3-0	Annagh United
01/11/25 Northern Ireland Championship	Loughgall	2-3	Annagh United
16/09/25 Northern Ireland Championship	Annagh United	1-1 HT 1-0	Loughgall
21/11/23 Northern Ireland League Cup	Annagh United	0-1 HT 0-0	Loughgall
11/04/23 Northern Ireland Championship	Annagh United	0-0	Loughgall

Standings · Northern Ireland Championship

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Annagh United	13	8	4	1	33	16	28
2	Newington FC	13	8	2	3	29	22	26
3	Glenavon	12	7	3	2	30	14	24
4	Ballinamallard Utd	13	6	3	4	20	18	21
5	Queens University	13	6	2	5	22	14	20
6	Institute	12	6	2	4	22	17	20
7	Newry City	13	5	4	4	20	22	19
8	Warrenpoint Town	12	5	3	4	21	17	18
9	Loughgall	13	4	5	4	18	23	17
10	Ards FC	13	4	4	5	15	16	16
11	HW Welders	13	5	1	7	19	22	16
12	Moyola Park	12	4	2	6	14	24	14
13	Rathfriland Rangers	13	4	1	8	14	25	13
14	Dundela	12	2	5	5	19	24	11
15	Strabane Athletic	14	2	5	7	13	24	11
16	Armagh City	13	0	6	7	11	22	6

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Loughgall	Annagh United
HW Welders	2-1 W	3-1 W
Moyola Park	1-2 L	2-0 W
Newry City	2-1 W	1-1 D
Glenavon	1-4 L	1-1 D
Armagh City	0-0 D	3-1 W
Queens University	0-1 L	5-1 W
Ballinamallard Utd	1-6 L	3-1 W
Warrenpoint Town	3-3 D	1-1 D
Ards FC	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 4 L	6 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Annagh United (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Loughgall

WDLLDLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	HW Welders Northern Ireland Championship	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
16/10	Strabane Athletic Northern Ireland Championship	–	1-1	–	–	D
10/10	Moyola Park Northern Ireland Championship	1-2	1-2	3	5	L
03/10	Newry City Northern Ireland Championship	–	2-1	–	–	W
25/09	Glenavon Northern Ireland Championship	1-0	1-4	3	8	L
19/09	Armagh City Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
12/09	Queens University Northern Ireland Championship	–	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	Ballinamallard Utd Northern Ireland Championship	0-1	1-6	7	3	L
28/08	Warrenpoint Town Northern Ireland Championship	1-1	3-3	3	2	D
22/08	Ards FC Northern Ireland Championship	1-1	2-1	5	6	W

Annagh United

WWWWDWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Queens University Northern Ireland Championship	1-0	5-1	7	0	W
17/10	Armagh City Northern Ireland Championship	1-0	3-1	9	2	W
10/10	Glenavon Northern Ireland Championship	1-1	1-1	3	9	D
03/10	Warrenpoint Town Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
26/09	Institute Northern Ireland Championship	3-0	5-0	7	7	W
18/09	Newry City Northern Ireland Championship	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
12/09	HW Welders Northern Ireland Championship	0-1	3-1	6	7	W
04/09	Ards FC Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	2-1	4	7	W
29/08	Ballinamallard Utd Northern Ireland Championship	–	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	Moyola Park Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	2-0	5	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Loughgall vs Annagh United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Annagh United win (39%). Probabilities: Loughgall 35%, draw 26%, Annagh United 39%.

How many goals are expected in Loughgall vs Annagh United?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Loughgall 1.54 · Annagh United 1.65), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Loughgall vs Annagh United?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.