Football · Austria Bundesliga · 11/09, 19:30

Prediction: SV Ried vs FC Salzburg

Team pages: SV Ried · FC Salzburg

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
SV Ried1.17
FC Salzburg2.02
1X2
21% 23% 56%
SV Ried Draw FC Salzburg
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
SV Ried 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WLLWLDLLWL
FC Salzburg 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WLDLLWDWWW
Head-to-head
SV Ried 0–2–4 FC Salzburg (6 last)
  • FC Salzburg4-1SV Ried
  • SV Ried2-2FC Salzburg
  • FC Salzburg2-0SV Ried
  • SV Ried0-3FC Salzburg
  • FC Salzburg3-0SV Ried
  • SV Ried2-2FC Salzburg
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Ried 1500 · FC Salzburg 1587
SV RiedDrawFC Salzburg
Our model21%23%56%
Market20%24%56%
Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Salzburg (rating 1500 vs 1587).
  • H2H favours FC Salzburg: 4-2-0.
  • High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SV RiedFC Salzburg
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.72 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 11.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/10/60%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.74.5 / 7.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.22.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Ried 024 FC Salzburg

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/11/25
Austria Bundesliga
FC Salzburg4-1
HT 2-1
SV Ried
02/08/25
Austria Bundesliga
SV Ried2-2
HT 1-1
FC Salzburg
26/02/23
Austria Bundesliga
FC Salzburg2-0
HT 1-0
SV Ried
10/09/22
Austria Bundesliga
SV Ried0-3
HT 0-2
FC Salzburg
01/05/22
Austria Cup
FC Salzburg3-0
HT 1-0
SV Ried
30/10/21
Austria Bundesliga
SV Ried2-2
HT 1-0
FC Salzburg

Standings · Austria Bundesliga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 LASK Linz 5500 15215
2 FC Salzburg 5410 14313
3 Rapid Vienna 5401 15712
4 SK Sturm Graz 5221 658
5 WSG Swarovski Tirol 5212 777
6 Hartberg 5203 586
7 Austria Lustenau 5122 595
8 Wolfsberger AC 5122 665
9 SV Ried 5113 6104
10 Grazer AK 5113 2134
11 SCR Altach 5104 483
12 FK Austria Vienna 5104 3103

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSV RiedFC Salzburg
Hartberg 2-3 L 1-0 W
LASK Linz 1-4 L 1-2 L
Rapid Vienna 1-2 L 5-1 W
Wolfsberger AC 0-1 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 4 L 2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Salzburg (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Ried

WLLWLDLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Hartberg
Austria Bundesliga
1-2 2-3 43 L
21/08 Grazer AK
Austria Bundesliga
1-0 1-0 77 W
14/08 LASK Linz
Austria Bundesliga
1-3 1-4 04 L
09/08 Rapid Vienna
Austria Bundesliga
0-1 1-2 32 L
02/08 Austria Lustenau
Austria Bundesliga
1-1 1-1 94 D
25/05 Rapid Vienna
Austria Bundesliga
0-1 0-3 41 L
22/05 Rapid Vienna
Austria Bundesliga
1-0 2-1 42 W
16/05 SCR Altach
Austria Bundesliga
0-1 0-2 45 L
09/05 Wolfsberger AC
Austria Bundesliga
0-1 0-1 74 L
02/05 FC Blau Weiss Linz
Austria Bundesliga
1-0 2-0 55 W

FC Salzburg

WLDLLWDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/09 Rapid Vienna
Austria Bundesliga
3-0 5-1 21 W
30/08 FK Austria Vienna
Austria Bundesliga
3-0 4-1 72 W
16/08 WSG Swarovski Tirol
Austria Bundesliga
2-0 3-0 73 W
09/08 Wolfsberger AC
Austria Bundesliga
0-0 1-1 86 D
01/08 Hartberg
Austria Bundesliga
0-0 1-0 190 W
17/05 Hartberg
Austria Bundesliga
0-2 1-3 132 L
10/05 LASK Linz
Austria Bundesliga
0-2 1-2 52 L
03/05 SK Sturm Graz
Austria Bundesliga
1-0 1-1 42 D
26/04 Rapid Vienna
Austria Bundesliga
0-0 0-1 63 L
22/04 FK Austria Vienna
Austria Bundesliga
2-1 3-1 55 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Ried vs FC Salzburg?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Salzburg win (56%). Probabilities: SV Ried 21%, draw 23%, FC Salzburg 56%.

How many goals are expected in SV Ried vs FC Salzburg?

The model expects 3.2 goals (SV Ried 1.17 · FC Salzburg 2.02), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Ried vs FC Salzburg?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.