Football · Austria Bundesliga · 20/09, 14:30

Prediction: SV Ried vs Wolfsberger AC

Team pages: SV Ried · Wolfsberger AC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

SV Ried1.53

Wolfsberger AC1.13

1X2

46% 27% 28%

SV Ried Draw Wolfsberger AC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Ried 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLDLLWLD

Wolfsberger AC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWWDLDLL

Head-to-head

SV Ried 3–1–2 Wolfsberger AC (6 last)

SV Ried2-1Wolfsberger AC
SV Ried0-1Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC0-0SV Ried
SV Ried1-0Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC1-2SV Ried
SV Ried1-2Wolfsberger AC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Ried 1513 · Wolfsberger AC 1529

	SV Ried	Draw	Wolfsberger AC
Our model	45%	28%	27%
Market	46%	26%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SV Ried: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Ried	Wolfsberger AC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.8	1.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.7	2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.60

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.12 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.46

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.1% Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:23 +1’	2.00	3.60	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
23:40 +44’	2.12	3.46	3.46

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Ried 3–1–2 Wolfsberger AC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/05/26 Austria Bundesliga Play-Offs	SV Ried	2-1 HT 0-0	Wolfsberger AC
09/05/26 Austria Bundesliga	SV Ried	0-1 HT 0-1	Wolfsberger AC
11/04/26 Austria Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	0-0 HT 0-0	SV Ried
29/11/25 Austria Bundesliga	SV Ried	1-0 HT 0-0	Wolfsberger AC
18/10/25 Austria Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	1-2 HT 1-0	SV Ried
26/09/23 Austria Cup	SV Ried	1-2 HT 0-1	Wolfsberger AC

Standings · Austria Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	LASK Linz	6	5	0	1	16	4	15
2	Rapid Vienna	6	5	0	1	18	7	15
3	FC Salzburg	6	4	2	0	15	4	14
4	SK Sturm Graz	6	3	2	1	8	6	11
5	WSG Swarovski Tirol	6	2	2	2	9	9	8
6	Hartberg	6	2	1	3	7	10	7
7	Grazer AK	6	2	1	3	4	14	7
8	FK Austria Vienna	6	2	0	4	5	11	6
9	Austria Lustenau	6	1	2	3	6	11	5
10	SV Ried	6	1	2	3	7	11	5
11	Wolfsberger AC	6	1	2	3	6	9	5
12	SCR Altach	6	1	0	5	5	10	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Ried	Wolfsberger AC
FC Salzburg	1-1 D	1-1 D
Grazer AK	1-0 W	0-0 D
LASK Linz	1-4 L	1-3 L
Rapid Vienna	1-2 L	0-3 L
Austria Lustenau	1-1 D	1-2 L
SCR Altach	0-2 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SV Ried (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Ried

LLWLDLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
30/08	Hartberg Austria Bundesliga	1-2	2-3	4	3	L
21/08	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
14/08	LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga	1-3	1-4	0	4	L
09/08	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-1	1-2	3	2	L
02/08	Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga	1-1	1-1	9	4	D
25/05	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
22/05	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
16/05	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
09/05	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-1	7	4	L

Wolfsberger AC

WWWWWDLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-2	0-3	1	6	L
01/09	LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga	1-0	1-3	1	5	L
29/08	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
15/08	Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga	1-2	1-2	4	3	L
09/08	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
02/08	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
16/05	WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
09/05	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
04/05	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	2-1	4-1	4	5	W
25/04	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-0	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Ried vs Wolfsberger AC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Ried win (46%). Probabilities: SV Ried 46%, draw 27%, Wolfsberger AC 28%.

How many goals are expected in SV Ried vs Wolfsberger AC?

The model expects 2.66 goals (SV Ried 1.53 · Wolfsberger AC 1.13), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Ried vs Wolfsberger AC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.