Football · Austria Bundesliga · 20/09, 14:30

Prediction: Hartberg vs LASK Linz

Team pages: Hartberg · LASK Linz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.27Total

Hartberg0.72

LASK Linz2.54

1X2

8% 16% 76%

Hartberg Draw LASK Linz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

0-2 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Hartberg 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLLLWW

LASK Linz 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Hartberg 0–4–2 LASK Linz (6 last)

Hartberg1-5LASK Linz
LASK Linz0-0Hartberg
Hartberg2-2LASK Linz
LASK Linz3-3Hartberg
LASK Linz2-0Hartberg
LASK Linz0-0Hartberg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hartberg 1510 · LASK Linz 1610

	Hartberg	Draw	LASK Linz
Our model	8%	16%	76%
Market	8%	16%	76%

Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours LASK Linz (rating 1510 vs 1610).
H2H favours LASK Linz: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hartberg	LASK Linz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.9	2.9 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	1.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.1	3.3 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

112.00

X5.75

21.22

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)2.00

2 (-1.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
X	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75
2	1.22 → 1.22	Pinn 1.25 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6% Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:23 +1’	12.00	5.75	1.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:12 +192’	11.10	5.73	1.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hartberg 0–4–2 LASK Linz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Austria Bundesliga	Hartberg	1-5 HT 0-2	LASK Linz
13/03/26 Austria Bundesliga	LASK Linz	0-0 HT 0-0	Hartberg
06/12/25 Austria Bundesliga	Hartberg	2-2 HT 2-1	LASK Linz
05/10/25 Austria Bundesliga	LASK Linz	3-3 HT 0-1	Hartberg
26/05/25 Austria Bundesliga	LASK Linz	2-0 HT 1-0	Hartberg
10/05/25 Austria Bundesliga	LASK Linz	0-0 HT 0-0	Hartberg

Standings · Austria Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	LASK Linz	6	5	0	1	16	4	15
2	Rapid Vienna	6	5	0	1	18	7	15
3	FC Salzburg	6	4	2	0	15	4	14
4	SK Sturm Graz	6	3	2	1	8	6	11
5	WSG Swarovski Tirol	6	2	2	2	9	9	8
6	Hartberg	6	2	1	3	7	10	7
7	Grazer AK	6	2	1	3	4	14	7
8	FK Austria Vienna	6	2	0	4	5	11	6
9	Austria Lustenau	6	1	2	3	6	11	5
10	SV Ried	6	1	2	3	7	11	5
11	Wolfsberger AC	6	1	2	3	6	9	5
12	SCR Altach	6	1	0	5	5	10	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hartberg	LASK Linz
SV Ried	3-2 W	4-1 W
SCR Altach	2-1 W	3-0 W
FK Austria Vienna	0-2 L	2-0 W
SK Sturm Graz	0-2 L	1-1 D
FC Salzburg	0-1 L	2-1 W
Rapid Vienna	2-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: LASK Linz (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hartberg

WLLLWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	2-1	3-2	3	3	W
22/08	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
16/08	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
08/08	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
01/08	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
17/05	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	2-0	3-1	2	2	W
10/05	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	1-3	2-4	2	6	L
03/05	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
26/04	LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga	0-2	1-5	6	4	L
22/04	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	1-0	2-0	1	4	W

LASK Linz

DWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/09	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	0-1	3-1	14	5	W
29/08	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	2-0	3-0	4	6	W
14/08	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	3-1	4-1	6	4	W
09/08	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-0	2-0	11	5	W
31/07	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	2-0	3-0	6	2	W
17/05	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
10/05	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	2-0	2-1	4	2	W
04/05	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-1	3-1	4	1	W
26/04	Hartberg Austria Bundesliga	2-0	5-1	2	4	W
22/04	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-1	5	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hartberg vs LASK Linz?

According to our model, the most likely result is an LASK Linz win (76%). Probabilities: Hartberg 8%, draw 16%, LASK Linz 76%.

How many goals are expected in Hartberg vs LASK Linz?

The model expects 3.27 goals (Hartberg 0.72 · LASK Linz 2.54), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Hartberg vs LASK Linz?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.