Football · Austria Bundesliga · 18/09, 19:30

Prediction: Rapid Vienna vs WSG Swarovski Tirol

Team pages: Rapid Vienna · WSG Swarovski Tirol

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.5Total

Rapid Vienna2.42

WSG Swarovski Tirol1.08

1X2

66% 20% 14%

Rapid Vienna Draw WSG Swarovski Tirol

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Rapid Vienna 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWWWLW

WSG Swarovski Tirol 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWLDLDLLWW

Head-to-head

Rapid Vienna 3–3–0 WSG Swarovski Tirol (6 last)

WSG Swarovski Tirol1-1Rapid Vienna
Rapid Vienna4-1WSG Swarovski Tirol
WSG Swarovski Tirol0-0Rapid Vienna
Rapid Vienna2-0WSG Swarovski Tirol
WSG Swarovski Tirol1-2Rapid Vienna
Rapid Vienna1-1WSG Swarovski Tirol

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rapid Vienna 1618 · WSG Swarovski Tirol 1502

	Rapid Vienna	Draw	WSG Swarovski Tirol
Our model	66%	19%	15%
Market	66%	20%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rapid Vienna (rating 1618 vs 1502).
H2H favours Rapid Vienna: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rapid Vienna	WSG Swarovski Tirol
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.3	0.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.5	2.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.2	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.50

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 5.19 ★
2	6.50 → 6.50	Pinn 6.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9% Pinnacle margin 5.7%

Time*	1	X	2
05:05 +13’	1.40	4.50	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:44 +49’	1.40	5.19	6.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rapid Vienna 3–3–0 WSG Swarovski Tirol

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/11/25 Austria Bundesliga	WSG Swarovski Tirol	1-1 HT 1-0	Rapid Vienna
14/09/25 Austria Bundesliga	Rapid Vienna	4-1 HT 2-0	WSG Swarovski Tirol
23/11/24 Austria Bundesliga	WSG Swarovski Tirol	0-0 HT 0-0	Rapid Vienna
18/08/24 Austria Bundesliga	Rapid Vienna	2-0 HT 1-0	WSG Swarovski Tirol
05/12/23 Austria Bundesliga	WSG Swarovski Tirol	1-2 HT 0-0	Rapid Vienna
27/08/23 Austria Bundesliga	Rapid Vienna	1-1 HT 0-1	WSG Swarovski Tirol

Standings · Austria Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	LASK Linz	5	5	0	0	15	2	15
2	Rapid Vienna	6	5	0	1	18	7	15
3	FC Salzburg	6	4	2	0	15	4	14
4	SK Sturm Graz	5	2	2	1	6	5	8
5	WSG Swarovski Tirol	5	2	1	2	7	7	7
6	Grazer AK	6	2	1	3	4	14	7
7	Hartberg	5	2	0	3	5	8	6
8	Austria Lustenau	5	1	2	2	5	9	5
9	SV Ried	6	1	2	3	7	11	5
10	Wolfsberger AC	6	1	2	3	6	9	5
11	SCR Altach	6	1	0	5	5	10	3
12	FK Austria Vienna	5	1	0	4	3	10	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rapid Vienna	WSG Swarovski Tirol
Wolfsberger AC	3-0 W	0-2 L
FC Salzburg	1-5 L	0-3 L
SK Sturm Graz	3-1 W	1-1 D
Grazer AK	8-0 W	0-4 L
SV Ried	2-1 W	1-0 W
SCR Altach	1-0 W	1-3 L
FK Austria Vienna	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Rapid Vienna (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rapid Vienna

LLLWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	2-0	3-0	6	6	W
02/09	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	0-3	1-5	6	1	L
30/08	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	2-1	3-1	6	6	W
16/08	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	5-0	8-0	8	4	W
09/08	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
02/08	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/05	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	1-0	3-0	7	1	W
22/05	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
17/05	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-2	3	1	L
10/05	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-2	4	2	L

WSG Swarovski Tirol

DWLDLDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
28/08	Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga	1-0	4-0	12	3	W
16/08	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	0-2	0-3	2	3	L
07/08	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	1-1	1-3	5	2	L
01/08	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	1-1	1-1	1	5	D
16/05	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
09/05	FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria Bundesliga	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
02/05	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	0-2	0-4	5	3	L
25/04	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
21/04	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-0	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rapid Vienna vs WSG Swarovski Tirol?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rapid Vienna win (66%). Probabilities: Rapid Vienna 66%, draw 20%, WSG Swarovski Tirol 14%.

How many goals are expected in Rapid Vienna vs WSG Swarovski Tirol?

The model expects 3.5 goals (Rapid Vienna 2.42 · WSG Swarovski Tirol 1.08), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Rapid Vienna vs WSG Swarovski Tirol?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.