Football · Austria Bundesliga · 19/09, 19:30

Prediction: Grazer AK vs FK Austria Vienna

Team pages: Grazer AK · FK Austria Vienna

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

Grazer AK1.28

FK Austria Vienna1.21

1X2

37% 29% 34%

Grazer AK Draw FK Austria Vienna

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Grazer AK 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWLWLLDW

FK Austria Vienna 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LDWWLLLWLL

Head-to-head

Grazer AK 1–1–4 FK Austria Vienna (6 last)

FK Austria Vienna2-0Grazer AK
FK Austria Vienna2-1Grazer AK
Grazer AK2-2FK Austria Vienna
Grazer AK1-2FK Austria Vienna
FK Austria Vienna2-1Grazer AK
Grazer AK2-1FK Austria Vienna

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Grazer AK 1524 · FK Austria Vienna 1497

	Grazer AK	Draw	FK Austria Vienna
Our model	37%	30%	33%
Market	38%	28%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Austria Vienna: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Grazer AK	FK Austria Vienna
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.7	0.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.7	1.7 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.30

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:02 +6’	2.45	3.30	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Grazer AK 1–1–4 FK Austria Vienna

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Europe Friendlies	FK Austria Vienna	2-0 HT 2-0	Grazer AK
08/11/25 Austria Bundesliga	FK Austria Vienna	2-1 HT 1-0	Grazer AK
03/08/25 Austria Bundesliga	Grazer AK	2-2 HT 1-1	FK Austria Vienna
01/03/25 Austria Bundesliga	Grazer AK	1-2 HT 0-0	FK Austria Vienna
05/10/24 Austria Bundesliga	FK Austria Vienna	2-1 HT 1-0	Grazer AK
15/02/19 Austria Cup	Grazer AK	2-1 HT 0-1	FK Austria Vienna

Standings · Austria Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	LASK Linz	5	5	0	0	15	2	15
2	Rapid Vienna	6	5	0	1	18	7	15
3	FC Salzburg	6	4	2	0	15	4	14
4	SK Sturm Graz	5	2	2	1	6	5	8
5	WSG Swarovski Tirol	5	2	1	2	7	7	7
6	Grazer AK	6	2	1	3	4	14	7
7	Hartberg	5	2	0	3	5	8	6
8	Austria Lustenau	5	1	2	2	5	9	5
9	SV Ried	6	1	2	3	7	11	5
10	Wolfsberger AC	6	1	2	3	6	9	5
11	SCR Altach	6	1	0	5	5	10	3
12	FK Austria Vienna	5	1	0	4	3	10	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Grazer AK	FK Austria Vienna
Wolfsberger AC	0-0 D	0-3 L
Rapid Vienna	0-8 L	2-0 W
LASK Linz	0-3 L	0-2 L
WSG Swarovski Tirol	4-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Grazer AK

LWDWLWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	2-1	2-1	2	2	W
29/08	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-0	11	7	D
21/08	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
16/08	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-5	0-8	1	4	L
08/08	Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
31/07	LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga	0-2	0-3	2	2	L
16/05	FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria Bundesliga	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
09/05	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	0-1	2-2	6	6	D
02/05	WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga	2-0	4-0	4	3	W
25/04	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-1	8	3	L

FK Austria Vienna

LDWWLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-1	8	5	L
30/08	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	0-3	1-4	4	2	L
16/08	Hartberg Austria Bundesliga	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
09/08	LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-2	1	5	L
02/08	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-3	3	3	L
17/05	LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-3	8	2	L
10/05	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
03/05	Hartberg Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
26/04	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
22/04	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	1-2	1-3	0	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grazer AK vs FK Austria Vienna?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Grazer AK win (37%). Probabilities: Grazer AK 37%, draw 29%, FK Austria Vienna 34%.

How many goals are expected in Grazer AK vs FK Austria Vienna?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Grazer AK 1.28 · FK Austria Vienna 1.21), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Grazer AK vs FK Austria Vienna?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.