Football · Austria Bundesliga · 12/09, 19:30

Prediction: Wolfsberger AC vs Rapid Vienna

Team pages: Wolfsberger AC · Rapid Vienna

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

Wolfsberger AC1.1

Rapid Vienna1.91

1X2

20% 24% 55%

Wolfsberger AC Draw Rapid Vienna

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Wolfsberger AC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWDLDL

Rapid Vienna 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWWWWL

Head-to-head

Wolfsberger AC 3–1–2 Rapid Vienna (6 last)

Rapid Vienna2-0Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC1-2Rapid Vienna
Rapid Vienna0-1Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC5-1Rapid Vienna
Rapid Vienna1-3Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC1-1Rapid Vienna

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wolfsberger AC 1552 · Rapid Vienna 1587

	Wolfsberger AC	Draw	Rapid Vienna
Our model	21%	24%	55%
Market	20%	24%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Wolfsberger AC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wolfsberger AC	Rapid Vienna
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1	2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	1.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.9	2.4 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	1.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

14.50

X3.75

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.93

2 (-0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.77

Under 2.752.02

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
X	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 4.26 ★
2	1.67 → 1.67	Pinn 1.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9% Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
01:02 +8’	4.50	3.75	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:34 +335’	4.28	4.26	1.71
04:39 +35’	4.28	4.26	1.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wolfsberger AC 3–1–2 Rapid Vienna

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Austria Bundesliga	Rapid Vienna	2-0 HT 0-0	Wolfsberger AC
24/08/25 Austria Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	1-2 HT 0-2	Rapid Vienna
04/05/25 Austria Bundesliga	Rapid Vienna	0-1 HT 0-0	Wolfsberger AC
20/04/25 Austria Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	5-1 HT 1-1	Rapid Vienna
08/02/25 Austria Bundesliga	Rapid Vienna	1-3 HT 1-0	Wolfsberger AC
14/09/24 Austria Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	1-1 HT 0-1	Rapid Vienna

Standings · Austria Bundesliga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	LASK Linz	5	5	0	0	15	2	15
2	FC Salzburg	5	4	1	0	14	3	13
3	Rapid Vienna	5	4	0	1	15	7	12
4	SK Sturm Graz	5	2	2	1	6	5	8
5	WSG Swarovski Tirol	5	2	1	2	7	7	7
6	Hartberg	5	2	0	3	5	8	6
7	Austria Lustenau	5	1	2	2	5	9	5
8	Wolfsberger AC	5	1	2	2	6	6	5
9	SV Ried	5	1	1	3	6	10	4
10	Grazer AK	5	1	1	3	2	13	4
11	SCR Altach	5	1	0	4	4	8	3
12	FK Austria Vienna	5	1	0	4	3	10	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wolfsberger AC	Rapid Vienna
LASK Linz	1-3 L	1-3 L
Grazer AK	0-0 D	8-0 W
FC Salzburg	1-1 D	1-5 L
FK Austria Vienna	3-0 W	0-2 L
SV Ried	1-0 W	2-1 W
SCR Altach	4-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Wolfsberger AC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wolfsberger AC

LWWWWWDLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/09	LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga	1-0	1-3	1	5	L
29/08	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
15/08	Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga	1-2	1-2	4	3	L
09/08	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
02/08	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
16/05	WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
09/05	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
04/05	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	2-1	4-1	4	5	W
25/04	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
21/04	FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-3	3	5	L

Rapid Vienna

LLLLWWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	0-3	1-5	6	1	L
30/08	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	2-1	3-1	6	6	W
16/08	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	5-0	8-0	8	4	W
09/08	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
02/08	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/05	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	1-0	3-0	7	1	W
22/05	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
17/05	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-2	3	1	L
10/05	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
04/05	LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga	1-0	1-3	0	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wolfsberger AC vs Rapid Vienna?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rapid Vienna win (55%). Probabilities: Wolfsberger AC 20%, draw 24%, Rapid Vienna 55%.

How many goals are expected in Wolfsberger AC vs Rapid Vienna?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Wolfsberger AC 1.1 · Rapid Vienna 1.91), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wolfsberger AC vs Rapid Vienna?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.