Football · Austria Bundesliga · 31/10, 17:00

Prediction: SCR Altach vs SV Ried

Team pages: SCR Altach · SV Ried

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.31Total

SCR Altach1.79

SV Ried1.52

1X2

43% 25% 32%

SCR Altach Draw SV Ried

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

SCR Altach 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLWLW

SV Ried 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLLWLDWWWD

Head-to-head

SCR Altach 3–1–2 SV Ried (6 last)

SCR Altach2-0SV Ried
SV Ried3-2SCR Altach
SV Ried3-0SCR Altach
SCR Altach1-0SV Ried
SV Ried0-1SCR Altach
SCR Altach1-1SV Ried

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SCR Altach 1492 · SV Ried 1545

	SCR Altach	Draw	SV Ried
Our model	43%	25%	32%
Market	43%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SV Ried (rating 1492 vs 1545).
H2H favours SCR Altach: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SCR Altach	SV Ried
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.6	1.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.1	1.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.7	1.6 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.60

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 02:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.20▼	Pinn 2.23
X	3.50 → 3.60▲	Pinn 3.69 ★
2	2.80 → 3.00▲	Pinn 3.05

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 6.6% Pinnacle margin 4.7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:42 +2’	2.30	3.50	2.80
17:10 +2’	2.05▼	3.60▲	3.20▲
02:14 +5’	2.10▲	3.60	3.10▼
00:58 +21’	2.15▲	3.60	2.90▼
02:13 +3’	2.20▲	3.60	3.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:41 +25’	2.24	3.64	2.93
15:50 +83’	2.15▼	3.72▲	3.15▲
07:35 +36’	2.12▼	3.74▲	3.21▲
11:03 +11’	2.13▲	3.72▼	3.21
01:10 +10’	2.22▲	3.68▼	3.04▼
17:02 +14’	2.23▲	3.69▲	3.05▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SCR Altach 3–1–2 SV Ried

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Austria Bundesliga	SCR Altach	2-0 HT 1-0	SV Ried
03/04/26 Austria Bundesliga	SV Ried	3-2 HT 0-1	SCR Altach
13/12/25 Austria Bundesliga	SV Ried	3-0 HT 1-0	SCR Altach
09/08/25 Austria Bundesliga	SCR Altach	1-0 HT 0-0	SV Ried
19/05/23 Austria Bundesliga	SV Ried	0-1 HT 0-0	SCR Altach
22/04/23 Austria Bundesliga	SCR Altach	1-1 HT 0-0	SV Ried

Standings · Austria Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	10	9	0	1	31	9	27
2	FC Salzburg	10	7	3	0	24	5	24
3	LASK Linz	10	6	1	3	24	12	19
4	SK Sturm Graz	10	5	3	2	18	12	18
5	SV Ried	10	4	3	3	18	17	15
6	Hartberg	10	4	2	4	16	19	14
7	WSG Swarovski Tirol	10	3	3	4	13	15	12
8	Grazer AK	10	2	4	4	8	23	10
9	SCR Altach	10	3	0	7	10	16	9
10	Austria Lustenau	10	2	2	6	12	24	8
11	FK Austria Vienna	10	2	1	7	10	20	7
12	Wolfsberger AC	10	1	2	7	7	19	5

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SCR Altach	SV Ried
FK Austria Vienna	2-1 W	3-2 W
FC Salzburg	0-3 L	1-1 D
Wolfsberger AC	3-0 W	4-1 W
Austria Lustenau	0-2 L	1-1 D
Grazer AK	1-2 L	1-0 W
LASK Linz	0-3 L	1-4 L
Hartberg	1-2 L	2-3 L
SK Sturm Graz	0-1 L	2-2 D
WSG Swarovski Tirol	3-1 W	2-1 W
Rapid Vienna	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 7 L	4 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SV Ried (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SCR Altach

LWLLLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
18/10	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-3	1	1	L
11/10	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	2-0	3-0	3	5	W
19/09	Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga	0-2	0-2	7	5	L
12/09	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	1-2	1-2	6	2	L
29/08	LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga	0-2	0-3	0	6	L
22/08	Hartberg Austria Bundesliga	0-1	1-2	11	2	L
15/08	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
07/08	WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga	1-1	3-1	3	2	W
02/08	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-1	5	2	L

SV Ried

DLLWLDWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	1-1	2-2	2	5	D
17/10	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	2-1	3-2	4	4	W
10/10	WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga	2-1	2-1	4	3	W
20/09	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	3-0	4-1	0	7	W
11/09	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
30/08	Hartberg Austria Bundesliga	1-2	2-3	4	3	L
21/08	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
14/08	LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga	1-3	1-4	0	4	L
09/08	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-1	1-2	3	2	L
02/08	Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga	1-1	1-1	9	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SCR Altach vs SV Ried?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SCR Altach win (43%). Probabilities: SCR Altach 43%, draw 25%, SV Ried 32%.

How many goals are expected in SCR Altach vs SV Ried?

The model expects 3.31 goals (SCR Altach 1.79 · SV Ried 1.52), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SCR Altach vs SV Ried?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.