Football · Austria Bundesliga · 08/11, 14:30
Prediction: Hartberg vs SCR Altach
Team pages: Hartberg · SCR Altach
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Hartberg1.47
SCR Altach1.39
1X2
Hartberg
Draw
SCR Altach
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Hartberg
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
SCR Altach
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hartberg
2–4–0
SCR Altach
(6 last)
- SCR Altach1-2Hartberg
- Hartberg0-0SCR Altach
- SCR Altach2-2Hartberg
- Hartberg2-0SCR Altach
- SCR Altach1-1Hartberg
- SCR Altach0-0Hartberg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hartberg 1550 · SCR Altach 1503
| Hartberg | Draw | SCR Altach | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 27% | 35% |
| Market | 38% | 27% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hartberg (rating 1550 vs 1503).
- H2H favours Hartberg: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hartberg | SCR Altach | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.8 | 1.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.4 | 2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hartberg 2–4–0 SCR Altach
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/26 Austria Bundesliga | SCR Altach | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Hartberg |
| 14/02/26 Austria Bundesliga | Hartberg | 0-0 HT 0-0 | SCR Altach |
| 25/10/25 Austria Bundesliga | SCR Altach | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Hartberg |
| 04/05/25 Austria Bundesliga | Hartberg | 2-0 HT 0-0 | SCR Altach |
| 19/04/25 Austria Bundesliga | SCR Altach | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Hartberg |
| 23/02/25 Austria Bundesliga | SCR Altach | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hartberg |
Standings · Austria Bundesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 9 | 30 |
| 2 | FC Salzburg | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 6 | 27 |
| 3 | LASK Linz | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 22 |
| 4 | SK Sturm Graz | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 19 |
| 5 | Hartberg | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 17 |
| 6 | SV Ried | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 16 |
| 7 | WSG Swarovski Tirol | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 12 |
| 8 | Grazer AK | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 10 |
| 9 | SCR Altach | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 10 |
| 10 | Austria Lustenau | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 8 |
| 11 | FK Austria Vienna | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 7 |
| 12 | Wolfsberger AC | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hartberg | SCR Altach |
|---|---|---|
| Grazer AK | 4-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Wolfsberger AC | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Austria Lustenau | 4-3 W | 0-2 L |
| LASK Linz | 3-3 D | 0-3 L |
| WSG Swarovski Tirol | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| SV Ried | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| FK Austria Vienna | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| SK Sturm Graz | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hartberg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 24/10 | Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 16/10 | Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga |
1-2 | 4-3 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 20/09 | LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga |
0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 30/08 | SV Ried Austria Bundesliga |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
SCR Altach
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | SV Ried Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 23/10 | FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 18/10 | FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 11/10 | Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Hartberg Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 07/08 | WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hartberg vs SCR Altach?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hartberg win (38%). Probabilities: Hartberg 38%, draw 27%, SCR Altach 35%.
How many goals are expected in Hartberg vs SCR Altach?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Hartberg 1.47 · SCR Altach 1.39), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hartberg vs SCR Altach?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.