Football · Austria Bundesliga · 07/11, 19:30

Prediction: SV Ried vs LASK Linz

Team pages: SV Ried · LASK Linz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.65Total

SV Ried1.19

LASK Linz2.46

1X2

16% 20% 64%

SV Ried Draw LASK Linz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Ried 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLWLDWWWDD

LASK Linz 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWLDLWLW

Head-to-head

SV Ried 1–4–1 LASK Linz (6 last)

LASK Linz3-3SV Ried
LASK Linz4-1SV Ried
SV Ried1-1LASK Linz
SV Ried1-1LASK Linz
LASK Linz1-3SV Ried
SV Ried1-1LASK Linz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Ried 1534 · LASK Linz 1528

	SV Ried	Draw	LASK Linz
Our model	16%	20%	64%
Market	16%	20%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Ried	LASK Linz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.7	2.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.5	3.5 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

15.75

X4.50

21.42

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.85

2 (-1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.75 → 5.75	Pinn 5.88
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.94 ★
2	1.42 → 1.42	Pinn 1.47

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10% Pinnacle margin 5.4%

Time*	1	X	2
00:08 +22’	5.75	4.50	1.42

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
23:57 +34’	5.48	4.86	1.50
08:40 +50’	5.88▲	4.94▲	1.47▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Ried 1–4–1 LASK Linz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/10/26 Austria Cup	LASK Linz	3-3 HT 0-1	SV Ried
14/08/26 Austria Bundesliga	LASK Linz	4-1 HT 3-1	SV Ried
18/03/26 Austria Cup	SV Ried	1-1 HT 0-0	LASK Linz
14/02/26 Austria Bundesliga	SV Ried	1-1 HT 1-0	LASK Linz
30/08/25 Austria Bundesliga	LASK Linz	1-3 HT 0-2	SV Ried
18/02/23 Austria Bundesliga	SV Ried	1-1 HT 1-0	LASK Linz

Standings · Austria Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	11	10	0	1	33	9	30
2	FC Salzburg	11	8	3	0	29	6	27
3	LASK Linz	11	7	1	3	26	13	22
4	SK Sturm Graz	11	5	4	2	19	13	19
5	Hartberg	11	5	2	4	20	19	17
6	SV Ried	11	4	4	3	19	18	16
7	WSG Swarovski Tirol	11	3	3	5	14	17	12
8	Grazer AK	11	2	4	5	8	27	10
9	SCR Altach	11	3	1	7	11	17	10
10	Austria Lustenau	11	2	2	7	13	29	8
11	FK Austria Vienna	11	2	1	8	10	22	7
12	Wolfsberger AC	11	1	3	7	8	20	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Ried	LASK Linz
SCR Altach	1-1 D	3-0 W
SK Sturm Graz	2-2 D	1-2 L
FK Austria Vienna	3-2 W	2-0 W
WSG Swarovski Tirol	2-1 W	2-1 W
Wolfsberger AC	4-1 W	3-1 W
FC Salzburg	1-1 D	1-3 L
Hartberg	2-3 L	3-3 D
Rapid Vienna	1-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SV Ried (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Ried

LLWLDWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-1	6	2	D
25/10	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	1-1	2-2	2	5	D
17/10	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	2-1	3-2	4	4	W
10/10	WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga	2-1	2-1	4	3	W
20/09	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	3-0	4-1	0	7	W
11/09	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
30/08	Hartberg Austria Bundesliga	1-2	2-3	4	3	L
21/08	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
14/08	LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga	1-3	1-4	0	4	L
09/08	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-1	1-2	3	2	L

LASK Linz

WWWWLDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga	1-1	2-1	1	7	W
25/10	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	1-1	1-3	4	5	L
17/10	Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga	0-0	4-0	12	2	W
11/10	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-2	6	2	L
20/09	Hartberg Austria Bundesliga	2-0	3-3	9	4	D
13/09	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	1-1	1-2	6	5	L
01/09	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	0-1	3-1	14	5	W
29/08	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	2-0	3-0	4	6	W
14/08	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	3-1	4-1	6	4	W
09/08	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-0	2-0	11	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Ried vs LASK Linz?

According to our model, the most likely result is an LASK Linz win (64%). Probabilities: SV Ried 16%, draw 20%, LASK Linz 64%.

How many goals are expected in SV Ried vs LASK Linz?

The model expects 3.65 goals (SV Ried 1.19 · LASK Linz 2.46), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Ried vs LASK Linz?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.