Football · Austria Bundesliga · 06/11, 19:30

Prediction: Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC

Team pages: Rapid Vienna · Wolfsberger AC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.48Total

Rapid Vienna2.7

Wolfsberger AC0.79

1X2

77% 15% 8%

Rapid Vienna Draw Wolfsberger AC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Rapid Vienna 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWWWW

Wolfsberger AC 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

DLDLLLLLLD

Head-to-head

Rapid Vienna 3–3 Wolfsberger AC (6 last)

Wolfsberger AC0-3Rapid Vienna
Rapid Vienna2-0Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC1-2Rapid Vienna
Rapid Vienna0-1Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC5-1Rapid Vienna
Rapid Vienna1-3Wolfsberger AC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rapid Vienna 1630 · Wolfsberger AC 1408

	Rapid Vienna	Draw	Wolfsberger AC
Our model	77%	15%	8%
Market	78%	14%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rapid Vienna (rating 1630 vs 1408).
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rapid Vienna	Wolfsberger AC
Goals for / against (FT)	3.2 / 0.9	0.5 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.4	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.3	1.7 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.18

X6.50

211.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.85

2 (+2)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Pinn 1.26 ★
X	6.50 → 6.50	Pinn 6.67
2	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1% Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:56 +10’	1.18	6.50	11.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:51 +12’	1.25	6.53	8.52
19:01 +23’	1.25▲	6.68▲	8.78▲
21:58 +14’	1.26▲	6.67▼	8.76▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rapid Vienna 3–0–3 Wolfsberger AC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/09/26 Austria Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	0-3 HT 0-2	Rapid Vienna
21/02/26 Austria Bundesliga	Rapid Vienna	2-0 HT 0-0	Wolfsberger AC
24/08/25 Austria Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	1-2 HT 0-2	Rapid Vienna
04/05/25 Austria Bundesliga	Rapid Vienna	0-1 HT 0-0	Wolfsberger AC
20/04/25 Austria Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	5-1 HT 1-1	Rapid Vienna
08/02/25 Austria Bundesliga	Rapid Vienna	1-3 HT 1-0	Wolfsberger AC

Standings · Austria Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	11	10	0	1	33	9	30
2	FC Salzburg	11	8	3	0	29	6	27
3	LASK Linz	11	7	1	3	26	13	22
4	SK Sturm Graz	11	5	4	2	19	13	19
5	Hartberg	11	5	2	4	20	19	17
6	SV Ried	11	4	4	3	19	18	16
7	WSG Swarovski Tirol	11	3	3	5	14	17	12
8	Grazer AK	11	2	4	5	8	27	10
9	SCR Altach	11	3	1	7	11	17	10
10	Austria Lustenau	11	2	2	7	13	29	8
11	FK Austria Vienna	11	2	1	8	10	22	7
12	Wolfsberger AC	11	1	3	7	8	20	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rapid Vienna	Wolfsberger AC
Austria Lustenau	5-1 W	1-2 L
Hartberg	3-1 W	0-1 L
LASK Linz	2-0 W	1-3 L
WSG Swarovski Tirol	3-0 W	0-2 L
FC Salzburg	1-5 L	1-1 D
SK Sturm Graz	3-1 W	1-1 D
Grazer AK	8-0 W	0-0 D
SV Ried	2-1 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 3 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Rapid Vienna (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rapid Vienna

WWWLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
24/10	Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga	3-0	5-1	10	3	W
16/10	Hartberg Austria Bundesliga	2-0	3-1	1	3	W
11/10	LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga	0-0	2-0	3	2	W
18/09	WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga	1-0	3-0	6	6	W
12/09	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	2-0	3-0	6	6	W
02/09	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	0-3	1-5	6	1	L
30/08	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	2-1	3-1	6	6	W
16/08	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	5-0	8-0	8	4	W
09/08	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	1-0	2-1	4	2	W

Wolfsberger AC

DLDLLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
24/10	Hartberg Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-1	1	0	L
18/10	WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-2	10	4	L
11/10	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	0-2	0-3	4	5	L
20/09	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	0-3	1-4	9	7	L
12/09	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-2	0-3	1	6	L
01/09	LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga	1-0	1-3	1	5	L
29/08	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
15/08	Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga	1-2	1-2	4	3	L
09/08	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-1	4	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rapid Vienna win (77%). Probabilities: Rapid Vienna 77%, draw 15%, Wolfsberger AC 8%.

How many goals are expected in Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC?

The model expects 3.48 goals (Rapid Vienna 2.7 · Wolfsberger AC 0.79), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.