Football · Austria Bundesliga · 08/11, 14:30

Prediction: WSG Swarovski Tirol vs FK Austria Vienna

Team pages: WSG Swarovski Tirol · FK Austria Vienna

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

WSG Swarovski Tirol1.5

FK Austria Vienna1.34

1X2

40% 27% 33%

WSG Swarovski Tirol Draw FK Austria Vienna

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

WSG Swarovski Tirol 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWDLLWDL

FK Austria Vienna 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLWDLLLL

Head-to-head

WSG Swarovski Tirol 2–1–3 FK Austria Vienna (6 last)

FK Austria Vienna0-1WSG Swarovski Tirol
FK Austria Vienna0-0WSG Swarovski Tirol
WSG Swarovski Tirol2-3FK Austria Vienna
WSG Swarovski Tirol0-2FK Austria Vienna
FK Austria Vienna3-0WSG Swarovski Tirol
WSG Swarovski Tirol1-0FK Austria Vienna

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · WSG Swarovski Tirol 1521 · FK Austria Vienna 1478

	WSG Swarovski Tirol	Draw	FK Austria Vienna
Our model	40%	27%	33%
Market	40%	27%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours WSG Swarovski Tirol (rating 1521 vs 1478).
H2H favours FK Austria Vienna: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	WSG Swarovski Tirol	FK Austria Vienna
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.6	1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.8	2.1 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.50

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.30▼	Pinn 2.63 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.63 → 2.80▲	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.8% Pinnacle margin 4.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:19 +4’	2.40	3.50	2.63
01:07 +8’	2.30▼	3.50	2.80▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
23:55 +28’	2.46	3.50	2.81
11:13	2.63▲	3.50	2.63▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · WSG Swarovski Tirol 2–1–3 FK Austria Vienna

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/09/26 Austria Bundesliga	FK Austria Vienna	0-1 HT 0-0	WSG Swarovski Tirol
29/11/25 Austria Bundesliga	FK Austria Vienna	0-0 HT 0-0	WSG Swarovski Tirol
18/10/25 Austria Bundesliga	WSG Swarovski Tirol	2-3 HT 1-2	FK Austria Vienna
16/03/25 Austria Bundesliga	WSG Swarovski Tirol	0-2 HT 0-0	FK Austria Vienna
26/10/24 Austria Bundesliga	FK Austria Vienna	3-0 HT 0-0	WSG Swarovski Tirol
23/04/24 Austria Bundesliga	WSG Swarovski Tirol	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Austria Vienna

Standings · Austria Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	11	10	0	1	33	9	30
2	FC Salzburg	11	8	3	0	29	6	27
3	LASK Linz	11	7	1	3	26	13	22
4	SK Sturm Graz	11	5	4	2	19	13	19
5	Hartberg	11	5	2	4	20	19	17
6	SV Ried	11	4	4	3	19	18	16
7	WSG Swarovski Tirol	11	3	3	5	14	17	12
8	Grazer AK	11	2	4	5	8	27	10
9	SCR Altach	11	3	1	7	11	17	10
10	Austria Lustenau	11	2	2	7	13	29	8
11	FK Austria Vienna	11	2	1	8	10	22	7
12	Wolfsberger AC	11	1	3	7	8	20	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	WSG Swarovski Tirol	FK Austria Vienna
LASK Linz	1-2 L	0-2 L
Grazer AK	1-1 D	2-2 D
SV Ried	1-2 L	2-3 L
Rapid Vienna	0-3 L	0-2 L
Hartberg	2-2 D	2-0 W
Austria Lustenau	4-0 W	2-1 W
FC Salzburg	0-3 L	1-4 L
SCR Altach	1-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FK Austria Vienna (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

WSG Swarovski Tirol

LLWWDLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga	1-1	1-2	2	7	L
24/10	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
18/10	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
10/10	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	1-2	1-2	7	3	L
18/09	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-3	3	6	L
13/09	Hartberg Austria Bundesliga	0-2	2-2	14	0	D
02/09	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
28/08	Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga	1-0	4-0	12	3	W
16/08	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	0-2	0-3	2	3	L
07/08	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	1-1	1-3	5	2	L

FK Austria Vienna

LWLLWDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-2	6	5	L
23/10	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	1-0	1-2	4	3	L
17/10	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	1-2	2-3	10	4	L
10/10	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
19/09	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	1-1	2-2	4	8	D
13/09	Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga	0-0	2-1	6	1	W
02/09	WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-1	8	5	L
30/08	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	0-3	1-4	4	2	L
16/08	Hartberg Austria Bundesliga	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
09/08	LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-2	1	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in WSG Swarovski Tirol vs FK Austria Vienna?

According to our model, the most likely result is a WSG Swarovski Tirol win (40%). Probabilities: WSG Swarovski Tirol 40%, draw 27%, FK Austria Vienna 33%.

How many goals are expected in WSG Swarovski Tirol vs FK Austria Vienna?

The model expects 2.84 goals (WSG Swarovski Tirol 1.5 · FK Austria Vienna 1.34), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in WSG Swarovski Tirol vs FK Austria Vienna?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.