Football · Austria Bundesliga · 01/11, 14:30
Prediction: FC Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau
Team pages: FC Salzburg · Austria Lustenau
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.02Total
FC Salzburg3.01
Austria Lustenau1.01
1X2
FC Salzburg
Draw
Austria Lustenau
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Salzburg
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Austria Lustenau
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Salzburg
6–0
Austria Lustenau
(6 last)
- FC Salzburg7-0Austria Lustenau
- Austria Lustenau0-4FC Salzburg
- FC Salzburg4-0Austria Lustenau
- Austria Lustenau0-6FC Salzburg
- FC Salzburg5-0Austria Lustenau
- Austria Lustenau0-1FC Salzburg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Salzburg 1596 · Austria Lustenau 1459
| FC Salzburg | Draw | Austria Lustenau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| Market | 79% | 13% | 7% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.02 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Salzburg (rating 1596 vs 1459).
- H2H favours FC Salzburg: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Salzburg | Austria Lustenau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.1 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 6.6 | 2.3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Salzburg 6–0–0 Austria Lustenau
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/24 Austria Bundesliga | FC Salzburg | 7-0 HT 4-0 | Austria Lustenau |
| 30/09/23 Austria Bundesliga | Austria Lustenau | 0-4 HT 0-3 | FC Salzburg |
| 11/02/23 Austria Bundesliga | FC Salzburg | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Austria Lustenau |
| 27/08/22 Austria Bundesliga | Austria Lustenau | 0-6 HT 0-2 | FC Salzburg |
| 29/05/20 Austria Cup | FC Salzburg | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Austria Lustenau |
| 31/10/18 Austria Cup | Austria Lustenau | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Salzburg |
Standings · Austria Bundesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | FC Salzburg | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 5 | 24 |
| 3 | LASK Linz | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 19 |
| 4 | SK Sturm Graz | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 18 |
| 5 | SV Ried | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 15 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 19 | 14 |
| 7 | WSG Swarovski Tirol | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 12 |
| 8 | Grazer AK | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 10 |
| 9 | SCR Altach | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 9 |
| 10 | Austria Lustenau | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 8 |
| 11 | FK Austria Vienna | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 7 |
| 12 | Wolfsberger AC | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 5 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Salzburg | Austria Lustenau |
|---|---|---|
| LASK Linz | 3-1 W | 0-4 L |
| SCR Altach | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Grazer AK | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| SK Sturm Graz | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| SV Ried | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Rapid Vienna | 5-1 W | 1-5 L |
| FK Austria Vienna | 4-1 W | 1-2 L |
| WSG Swarovski Tirol | 3-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Wolfsberger AC | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Hartberg | 1-0 W | 3-4 L |
| Record vs common | 7 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Salzburg (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Salzburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 18/10 | SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 10/10 | Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 20/09 | SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 11/09 | SV Ried Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 02/09 | Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
3-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Hartberg Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 19 | 0 | W |
Austria Lustenau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
0-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 17/10 | LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | Hartberg Austria Bundesliga |
2-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 28/08 | WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 15/08 | Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | SV Ried Austria Bundesliga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Salzburg win (78%). Probabilities: FC Salzburg 78%, draw 14%, Austria Lustenau 8%.
How many goals are expected in FC Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau?
The model expects 4.02 goals (FC Salzburg 3.01 · Austria Lustenau 1.01), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.