Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 19/10, 18:00

Prediction: Sutjeska Niksic vs FK Bokelj

Team pages: Sutjeska Niksic · FK Bokelj

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.37Total

Sutjeska Niksic1.5

FK Bokelj0.88

1X2

51% 28% 21%

Sutjeska Niksic Draw FK Bokelj

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Sutjeska Niksic 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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FK Bokelj 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sutjeska Niksic 5–1 FK Bokelj (6 last)

FK Bokelj1-0Sutjeska Niksic
FK Bokelj2-3Sutjeska Niksic
Sutjeska Niksic2-1FK Bokelj
Sutjeska Niksic1-0FK Bokelj
FK Bokelj4-5Sutjeska Niksic
Sutjeska Niksic5-2FK Bokelj

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sutjeska Niksic 1522 · FK Bokelj 1500

	Sutjeska Niksic	Draw	FK Bokelj
Our model	51%	29%	21%
Market	51%	28%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sutjeska Niksic: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sutjeska Niksic	FK Bokelj
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1	0.9 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6.7	1.9 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.4	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.20

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 21.82

Under 21.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 1.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.75▲	Pinn 1.79
X	3.40 → 3.20▼	Bet365 3.20
2	4.75 → 4.20▼	Pinn 4.71 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.2% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:49 +9’	1.61	3.40	4.75
18:08 +8’	1.75▲	3.20▼	4.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:25 +46’	1.79	3.13	4.71

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sutjeska Niksic 5–0–1 FK Bokelj

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/08/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Bokelj	1-0 HT 1-0	Sutjeska Niksic
02/05/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Bokelj	2-3 HT 1-1	Sutjeska Niksic
07/03/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	Sutjeska Niksic	2-1 HT 1-1	FK Bokelj
31/01/26 Europe Friendlies	Sutjeska Niksic	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Bokelj
01/11/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Bokelj	4-5 HT 2-1	Sutjeska Niksic
30/08/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	Sutjeska Niksic	5-2 HT 3-0	FK Bokelj

Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	10	5	2	3	17	12	17
2	FK Mornar Bar	11	4	5	2	14	11	17
3	FK Decic Tuzi	9	4	3	2	10	7	15
4	FK Bokelj	9	4	3	2	8	5	15
5	Buducnost Podgorica	10	4	3	3	11	7	15
6	Sutjeska Niksic	9	3	3	3	9	7	12
7	OFK Mladost DG	10	3	2	5	10	17	11
8	FK Jezero	10	2	4	4	12	18	10
9	OFK Petrovac	9	1	5	3	7	9	8
10	FK Arsenal	9	1	4	4	6	11	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sutjeska Niksic	FK Bokelj
Buducnost Podgorica	0-0 D	0-0 D
FK Decic Tuzi	2-0 W	0-1 L
FK Mornar Bar	1-0 W	0-2 L
OFK Petrovac	0-0 D	1-0 W
OFK Mladost DG	5-1 W	3-0 W
FK Jezero	0-0 D	1-1 D
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	1-4 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sutjeska Niksic (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sutjeska Niksic

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
13/09	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
08/09	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	8	2	W
04/09	OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
28/08	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	2-0	5-1	7	3	W
22/08	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
15/08	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	1-2	1-4	7	4	L
09/08	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	9	4	L
03/08	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	10	3	L
24/05	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Prva Liga	0-3	1-3	–	–	L

FK Bokelj

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	3-0	3-0	2	2	W
15/09	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
10/09	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	2-1	2-1	2	4	W
03/09	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-2	0-2	5	2	L
30/08	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
23/08	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
17/08	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	0	4	L
09/08	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
01/08	OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
24/05	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	9	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sutjeska Niksic vs FK Bokelj?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sutjeska Niksic win (51%). Probabilities: Sutjeska Niksic 51%, draw 28%, FK Bokelj 21%.

How many goals are expected in Sutjeska Niksic vs FK Bokelj?

The model expects 2.37 goals (Sutjeska Niksic 1.5 · FK Bokelj 0.88), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Sutjeska Niksic vs FK Bokelj?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.