Football · England Championship · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Blackburn vs Middlesbrough
Team pages: Blackburn · Middlesbrough
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.19Total
Blackburn1
Middlesbrough1.2
1X2
Blackburn
Draw
Middlesbrough
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Blackburn
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Middlesbrough
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Blackburn
2–3–1
Middlesbrough
(6 last)
- Blackburn0-0Middlesbrough
- Middlesbrough0-0Blackburn
- Blackburn0-2Middlesbrough
- Middlesbrough0-1Blackburn
- Middlesbrough0-1Blackburn
- Middlesbrough0-0Blackburn
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Blackburn 1515 · Middlesbrough 1537
| Blackburn | Draw | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 32% | 39% |
| Market | 31% | 28% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Blackburn: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Blackburn | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.6 | 3.3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Blackburn 2–3–1 Middlesbrough
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 England Championship | Blackburn | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Middlesbrough |
| 26/12/25 England Championship | Middlesbrough | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Blackburn |
| 04/04/25 England Championship | Blackburn | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Middlesbrough |
| 11/01/25 England FA Cup | Middlesbrough | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Blackburn |
| 27/11/24 England Championship | Middlesbrough | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Blackburn |
| 16/03/24 England Championship | Middlesbrough | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Blackburn |
Standings · England Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | QPR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Millwall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Bolton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Charlton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Swansea | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | West Brom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Blackburn | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Wolverhampton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sheff Utd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Burnley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Cardiff | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | West Ham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Derby | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Norwich | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Preston | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Stoke | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 | Portsmouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Bristol City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Blackburn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Wolverhampton England Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Burton Albion England EFL Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Huddersfield UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Strasbourg Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/07 | Nottm Forest Elite Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Accrington Stanley UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Leicester England Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 22/04 | Sheff Utd England Championship |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/04 | Coventry England Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 14/04 | Southampton England Championship |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
Middlesbrough
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Lincoln City England Championship |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 07/08 | Wrexham England EFL Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Espanyol Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | Celtic UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 23/05 | Hull England Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 12/05 | Southampton England Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 09/05 | Southampton England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Wrexham England Championship |
2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Watford England Championship |
2-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 22/04 | Sheff Wed England Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Blackburn vs Middlesbrough?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Middlesbrough win (40%). Probabilities: Blackburn 30%, draw 30%, Middlesbrough 40%.
How many goals are expected in Blackburn vs Middlesbrough?
The model expects 2.19 goals (Blackburn 1 · Middlesbrough 1.2), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Blackburn vs Middlesbrough?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.