Football · England Championship · 29/08, 16:00
Prediction: Charlton vs Preston
Team pages: Charlton · Preston
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
Charlton1.53
Preston1.18
1X2
Charlton
Draw
Preston
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Charlton
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Preston
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Charlton
0–6
Preston
(6 last)
- Charlton1-2Preston
- Preston2-0Charlton
- Preston2-1Charlton
- Preston2-1Charlton
- Charlton0-1Preston
- Preston2-1Charlton
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Charlton 1518 · Preston 1457
| Charlton | Draw | Preston | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 28% | 28% |
| Market | 44% | 29% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Charlton (rating 1518 vs 1457).
- H2H favours Preston: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Charlton | Preston | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.5 | 3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Charlton 0–0–6 Preston
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 England Championship | Charlton | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Preston |
| 04/10/25 England Championship | Preston | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Charlton |
| 14/01/25 England FA Cup | Preston | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Charlton |
| 18/01/20 England Championship | Preston | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Charlton |
| 03/11/19 England Championship | Charlton | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Preston |
| 23/02/16 England Championship | Preston | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Charlton |
Standings · England Championship
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Charlton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Wolverhampton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | QPR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Blackburn | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Bolton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Swansea | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | West Brom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Cardiff | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 13 | Birmingham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 13 | Wrexham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | Sheff Utd | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Burnley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 17 | West Ham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 19 | Bristol City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 20 | Lincoln City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 | Preston | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 | Stoke | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 | Norwich | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Charlton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | West Ham England Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Derby England Championship |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Swansea England Championship |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Hull England Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/04 | Ipswich England Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Sheff Wed England Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Preston England Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 06/04 | Watford England Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/04 | Bristol City England Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 21/03 | Norwich England Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
Preston
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Wolverhampton England Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Bolton England Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Southampton England Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Sheff Utd England Championship |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/04 | Birmingham England Championship |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | West Brom England Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 11/04 | Charlton England Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 06/04 | QPR England Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 03/04 | Leicester England Championship |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 20/03 | Stoke England Championship |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Charlton vs Preston?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Charlton win (44%). Probabilities: Charlton 44%, draw 28%, Preston 28%.
How many goals are expected in Charlton vs Preston?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Charlton 1.53 · Preston 1.18), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Charlton vs Preston?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.