Football · England Championship · 29/08, 16:00
Prediction: Blackburn vs QPR
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
Blackburn1.39
QPR1.1
1X2
Blackburn
Draw
QPR
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Blackburn
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
QPR
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Blackburn
3–3
QPR
(6 last)
- QPR1-3Blackburn
- Blackburn0-1QPR
- QPR2-1Blackburn
- Blackburn2-0QPR
- Blackburn1-2QPR
- QPR0-4Blackburn
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Blackburn 1530 · QPR 1558
| Blackburn | Draw | QPR | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 29% | 28% |
| Market | 42% | 29% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Blackburn | QPR | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.7 | 2.1 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Blackburn 3–0–3 QPR
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 England Championship | QPR | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Blackburn |
| 26/11/25 England Championship | Blackburn | 0-1 HT 0-0 | QPR |
| 04/02/25 England Championship | QPR | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Blackburn |
| 28/09/24 England Championship | Blackburn | 2-0 HT 0-0 | QPR |
| 03/02/24 England Championship | Blackburn | 1-2 HT 0-0 | QPR |
| 07/10/23 England Championship | QPR | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Blackburn |
Standings · England Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Charlton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Wolverhampton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | QPR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Blackburn | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Bolton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Swansea | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | West Brom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Cardiff | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 13 | Birmingham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 13 | Wrexham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | Sheff Utd | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Burnley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 17 | West Ham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 19 | Bristol City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 20 | Lincoln City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 | Preston | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 | Stoke | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 | Norwich | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Blackburn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Middlesbrough England Championship |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/08 | Wolverhampton England Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Leicester England Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 22/04 | Sheff Utd England Championship |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/04 | Coventry England Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 14/04 | Southampton England Championship |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Stoke England Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 06/04 | West Brom England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/04 | Birmingham England Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Middlesbrough England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
QPR
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Bolton England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Portsmouth England Championship |
3-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Ipswich England Championship |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Derby England Championship |
1-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 21/04 | Swansea England Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Millwall England Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Bristol City England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 06/04 | Preston England Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 03/04 | Watford England Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 21/03 | Portsmouth England Championship |
3-1 | 6-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Blackburn vs QPR?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Blackburn win (42%). Probabilities: Blackburn 42%, draw 29%, QPR 28%.
How many goals are expected in Blackburn vs QPR?
The model expects 2.5 goals (Blackburn 1.39 · QPR 1.1), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Blackburn vs QPR?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.