Football · England Championship · 22/08, 13:30
Prediction: Millwall vs Norwich
Team pages: Millwall · Norwich
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.26Total
Millwall1.33
Norwich0.93
1X2
Millwall
Draw
Norwich
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Millwall
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Norwich
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Millwall
3–3
Norwich
(6 last)
- Millwall1-2Norwich
- Norwich1-2Millwall
- Millwall3-1Norwich
- Norwich2-1Millwall
- Millwall1-0Norwich
- Norwich3-1Millwall
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Millwall 1514 · Norwich 1515
| Millwall | Draw | Norwich | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 31% | 25% |
| Market | 46% | 27% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Millwall | Norwich | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.4 | 3 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.4 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Millwall 3–0–3 Norwich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 England Championship | Millwall | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Norwich |
| 09/08/25 England Championship | Norwich | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Millwall |
| 21/04/25 England Championship | Millwall | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Norwich |
| 26/12/24 England Championship | Norwich | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Millwall |
| 29/12/23 England Championship | Millwall | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Norwich |
| 20/08/23 England Championship | Norwich | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Millwall |
Standings · England Championship
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | QPR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Millwall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Bolton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Charlton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Swansea | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | West Brom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Blackburn | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Wolverhampton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sheff Utd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Burnley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Cardiff | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | West Ham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Derby | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Norwich | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Preston | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Stoke | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 | Portsmouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Bristol City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Millwall
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Bristol City England Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | QPR England EFL Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 01/08 | Antwerp Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 28/07 | Bromley UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Stevenage UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Gillingham UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 17/07 | Eldense Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 14/07 | FC Andorra Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 11/05 | Hull England Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Hull England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
Norwich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | West Brom England Championship |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Milton Keynes Dons England EFL Cup |
3-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 04/08 | Cambridge Utd Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | Osasuna Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/07 | AFC Wimbledon UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 17/07 | St Gallen Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Colchester Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Kings Lynn Town Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Hull England Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Swansea England Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Millwall vs Norwich?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Millwall win (46%). Probabilities: Millwall 46%, draw 29%, Norwich 26%.
How many goals are expected in Millwall vs Norwich?
The model expects 2.26 goals (Millwall 1.33 · Norwich 0.93), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Millwall vs Norwich?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.