Football · England Championship · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Preston vs Wolverhampton
Team pages: Preston · Wolverhampton
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Preston0.98
Wolverhampton1.85
1X2
Preston
Draw
Wolverhampton
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Preston
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Wolverhampton
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Preston
1–2–3
Wolverhampton
(6 last)
- Wolverhampton2-1Preston
- Preston1-1Wolverhampton
- Wolverhampton3-2Preston
- Wolverhampton1-0Preston
- Preston0-0Wolverhampton
- Wolverhampton1-2Preston
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Preston 1450 · Wolverhampton 1530
| Preston | Draw | Wolverhampton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 25% | 57% |
| Market | 18% | 25% | 56% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wolverhampton (rating 1450 vs 1530).
- H2H favours Wolverhampton: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Preston | Wolverhampton | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.8 | 1.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.7 | 2.8 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Preston 1–2–3 Wolverhampton
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/22 England EFL Cup | Wolverhampton | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Preston |
| 17/02/18 England Championship | Preston | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Wolverhampton |
| 21/10/17 England Championship | Wolverhampton | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Preston |
| 07/05/17 England Championship | Wolverhampton | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Preston |
| 19/11/16 England Championship | Preston | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Wolverhampton |
| 13/02/16 England Championship | Wolverhampton | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Preston |
Standings · England Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | QPR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Millwall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Bolton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Charlton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Swansea | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | West Brom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Blackburn | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Wolverhampton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sheff Utd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Burnley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Cardiff | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | West Ham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Derby | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Norwich | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Preston | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Stoke | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 | Portsmouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Bristol City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Preston
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Bolton England Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Huddersfield England EFL Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Stockport UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 29/07 | Bradford UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | Cambridge Utd UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 14/07 | Bamber Bridge UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 4-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Southampton England Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Sheff Utd England Championship |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/04 | Birmingham England Championship |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | West Brom England Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
Wolverhampton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Blackburn England Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 07/08 | Port Vale England EFL Cup |
3-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Racing Santander Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | Doncaster UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Real Sociedad Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 22/07 | Maidenhead Utd UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Burnley England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Fulham England Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 09/05 | Brighton England Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Sunderland England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Preston vs Wolverhampton?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Wolverhampton win (57%). Probabilities: Preston 18%, draw 25%, Wolverhampton 57%.
How many goals are expected in Preston vs Wolverhampton?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Preston 0.98 · Wolverhampton 1.85), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Preston vs Wolverhampton?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.