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Football · England Championship · 22/08, 16:00

Prediction: QPR vs Bolton

Team pages: QPR · Bolton

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
QPR1.68
Bolton1.11
1X2
50% 26% 24%
QPR Draw Bolton
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
QPR 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LLDWWWWWDW
Bolton 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWWLWDDWLW
Head-to-head
QPR 3–2–1 Bolton (6 last)
  • QPR1-2Bolton
  • Bolton1-2QPR
  • QPR2-0Bolton
  • Bolton1-1QPR
  • Bolton1-1QPR
  • QPR4-3Bolton
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · QPR 1555 · Bolton 1534
QPRDrawBolton
Our model50%26%24%
Market50%26%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours QPR: 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

QPRBolton
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 1.31.4 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.50.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 51.9 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1 / 01.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · QPR 3–2–1 Bolton

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/03/19
England Championship
QPR1-2
HT 0-1
Bolton
15/09/18
England Championship
Bolton1-2
HT 0-1
QPR
17/02/18
England Championship
QPR2-0
HT 0-0
Bolton
21/10/17
England Championship
Bolton1-1
HT 1-0
QPR
20/02/16
England Championship
Bolton1-1
HT 0-0
QPR
03/10/15
England Championship
QPR4-3
HT 2-2
Bolton

Standings · England Championship

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 QPR 1100 313
2 Millwall 1100 203
3 Bolton 1100 213
3 Charlton 1100 213
3 Middlesbrough 1100 213
3 Swansea 1100 213
3 West Brom 1100 213
8 Blackburn 1010 221
8 Wolverhampton 1010 221
10 Birmingham 1010 001
10 Sheff Utd 1010 001
12 Burnley 0000 000
12 Cardiff 0000 000
12 Watford 0000 000
12 West Ham 0000 000
12 Wrexham 0000 000
17 Derby 1001 120
17 Lincoln City 1001 120
17 Norwich 1001 120
17 Preston 1001 120
17 Stoke 1001 120
22 Portsmouth 1001 130
23 Bristol City 1001 020
24 Southampton 0000 00-4

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

QPR

LLDWWWWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Portsmouth
England Championship
 3-1 3-1 31 W
08/08 Millwall
England EFL Cup
 0-0 1-1 60 D
01/08 AFC Wimbledon
UK Friendlies
 1-0 3-2 30 W
31/07 Bromley
UK Friendlies
 3-0 7-0 20 W
25/07 Fiorentina
Europe Friendlies
 2-1 3-2 40 W
21/07 Wycombe
UK Friendlies
 0-0 1-0 80 W
16/07 Wiener Neustadt
Europe Friendlies
 2-0 3-1 61 W
11/07 First Vienna FC 1894
Europe Friendlies
 0-0 0-0 61 D
02/05 Ipswich
England Championship
 0-2 0-3 23 L
25/04 Derby
England Championship
 1-1 2-3 104 L

Bolton

WWWLWDDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Preston
England Championship
 2-0 2-1 55 W
08/08 Sheff Wed
England EFL Cup
 0-0 0-1 53 L
01/08 NAC
Europe Friendlies
 1-0 1-0 33 W
28/07 Fleetwood Town
UK Friendlies
 0-0 1-1 60 D
25/07 Everton
Elite Club Friendlies
 0-0 0-0 51 D
21/07 Oldham
UK Friendlies
 2-0 3-1 40 W
17/07 Dunajska Streda
Europe Friendlies
 0-2 1-2 32 L
24/05 Stockport
England League 1
 1-1 4-1 53 W
14/05 Bradford
England League 1
 0-0 1-0 31 W
09/05 Bradford
England League 1
 0-0 1-0 52 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in QPR vs Bolton?

According to our model, the most likely result is a QPR win (50%). Probabilities: QPR 50%, draw 26%, Bolton 24%.

How many goals are expected in QPR vs Bolton?

The model expects 2.79 goals (QPR 1.68 · Bolton 1.11), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in QPR vs Bolton?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.