Football · England Championship · 02/09, 20:45

Prediction: West Brom vs Charlton

Team pages: West Brom · Charlton

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.72Total
West Brom1.73
Charlton0.99
1X2
54% 26% 21%
West Brom Draw Charlton
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
West Brom 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DDDWWDLWWL
Charlton 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LDLDLWLWWW
Head-to-head
West Brom 1–3–1 Charlton (5 last)
  • West Brom1-1Charlton
  • Charlton1-0West Brom
  • Charlton2-2West Brom
  • Charlton0-1West Brom
  • West Brom2-2Charlton
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · West Brom 1565 · Charlton 1513
West BromDrawCharlton
Our model54%26%20%
Market54%26%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours West Brom (rating 1565 vs 1513).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

West BromCharlton
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 0.91.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.30.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.81.5 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 03.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · West Brom 131 Charlton

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
24/02/26
England Championship
West Brom1-1
HT 1-0
Charlton
04/11/25
England Championship
Charlton1-0
HT 0-0
West Brom
11/01/20
England Championship
Charlton2-2
HT 1-1
West Brom
05/01/20
England FA Cup
Charlton0-1
HT 0-1
West Brom
26/10/19
England Championship
West Brom2-2
HT 1-0
Charlton

Standings · England Championship

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Charlton 3300 529
2 Wolverhampton 3210 947
3 Swansea 3210 517
4 QPR 3210 527
5 Middlesbrough 3201 646
6 Millwall 3201 656
6 West Brom 3201 656
8 Birmingham 3120 435
8 Watford 3120 435
10 Blackburn 3111 554
11 Bolton 3111 224
12 Bristol City 3111 454
13 Cardiff 3030 553
14 Sheff Utd 3030 223
15 Norwich 3102 563
15 Portsmouth 3102 563
17 Lincoln City 3102 353
18 Southampton 3201 942
19 West Ham 3021 452
20 Wrexham 3021 342
21 Derby 3012 371
22 Burnley 3012 491
23 Preston 3003 260
24 Stoke 3003 390

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentWest BromCharlton
Sheff Wed 1-2 L 1-1 D
Ipswich 0-0 D 1-2 L
Watford 3-0 W 1-1 D
Preston 2-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: West Brom (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

West Brom

DDDWWDLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Middlesbrough
England Championship
0-0 1-3 61 L
23/08 Burnley
England Championship
1-1 3-1 33 W
15/08 Norwich
England Championship
0-0 2-1 22 W
02/05 Sheff Wed
England Championship
0-2 1-2 25 L
25/04 Ipswich
England Championship
0-0 0-0 25 D
21/04 Watford
England Championship
2-0 3-0 47 W
18/04 Preston
England Championship
1-0 2-0 60 W
10/04 Millwall
England Championship
0-0 0-0 73 D
06/04 Blackburn
England Championship
0-0 0-0 25 D
03/04 Wrexham
England Championship
2-0 2-2 43 D

Charlton

LDLDLWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Preston
England Championship
0-0 1-0 72 W
22/08 West Ham
England Championship
1-0 2-1 45 W
15/08 Derby
England Championship
0-1 2-1 53 W
02/05 Swansea
England Championship
0-0 1-3 40 L
25/04 Hull
England Championship
1-1 2-1 53 W
22/04 Ipswich
England Championship
1-1 1-2 14 L
18/04 Sheff Wed
England Championship
0-0 1-1 23 D
11/04 Preston
England Championship
1-1 1-2 75 L
06/04 Watford
England Championship
0-0 1-1 34 D
03/04 Bristol City
England Championship
1-1 1-2 74 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in West Brom vs Charlton?

According to our model, the most likely result is a West Brom win (54%). Probabilities: West Brom 54%, draw 26%, Charlton 21%.

How many goals are expected in West Brom vs Charlton?

The model expects 2.72 goals (West Brom 1.73 · Charlton 0.99), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in West Brom vs Charlton?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.