Football · England Championship · 12/09, 13:30

Prediction: West Brom vs QPR

Team pages: West Brom · QPR

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

West Brom1.62

QPR1.12

1X2

48% 27% 25%

West Brom Draw QPR

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

West Brom 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWDLWWLDW

QPR 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLLWDWWL

Head-to-head

West Brom 4–1–1 QPR (6 last)

West Brom2-1QPR
QPR3-1West Brom
West Brom1-0QPR
QPR1-3West Brom
QPR2-2West Brom
West Brom2-0QPR

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · West Brom 1562 · QPR 1540

	West Brom	Draw	QPR
Our model	48%	27%	25%
Market	48%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours West Brom: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	West Brom	QPR
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.8	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.5	2.7 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.50

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.02

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:00 +3’	1.91	3.50	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · West Brom 4–1–1 QPR

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/12/25 England Championship	West Brom	2-1 HT 1-1	QPR
06/12/25 England Championship	QPR	3-1 HT 1-0	West Brom
08/03/25 England Championship	West Brom	1-0 HT 1-0	QPR
10/08/24 England Championship	QPR	1-3 HT 1-1	West Brom
06/03/24 England Championship	QPR	2-2 HT 1-2	West Brom
24/10/23 England Championship	West Brom	2-0 HT 0-0	QPR

Standings · England Championship

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Swansea	5	3	2	0	7	1	11
2	Middlesbrough	5	3	1	1	8	5	10
3	QPR	5	3	1	1	7	4	10
4	Bristol City	5	3	1	1	9	7	10
5	West Brom	5	3	1	1	8	6	10
6	Charlton	5	3	1	1	6	7	10
7	Millwall	5	3	0	2	10	8	9
8	West Ham	5	2	2	1	11	7	8
9	Wolverhampton	5	2	2	1	13	10	8
10	Birmingham	5	1	4	0	7	6	7
11	Wrexham	5	1	3	1	6	4	6
12	Norwich	5	2	0	3	8	8	6
13	Stoke	5	2	0	3	8	9	6
14	Portsmouth	5	2	0	3	7	8	6
15	Sheff Utd	5	1	3	1	6	7	6
16	Blackburn	5	1	2	2	6	7	5
17	Lincoln City	5	1	2	2	4	6	5
17	Watford	5	1	2	2	4	6	5
19	Southampton	5	2	2	1	11	6	4
20	Derby	5	1	1	3	5	10	4
21	Bolton	5	1	1	3	4	9	4
22	Cardiff	5	0	3	2	6	9	3
23	Preston	5	1	0	4	5	10	3
24	Burnley	5	0	2	3	6	12	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	West Brom	QPR
Middlesbrough	1-3 L	0-1 L
Ipswich	0-0 D	0-3 L
Millwall	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: West Brom (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

West Brom

DWWDLWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Watford England Championship	1-0	1-0	5	8	W
02/09	Charlton England Championship	0-0	1-1	8	2	D
29/08	Middlesbrough England Championship	0-0	1-3	6	1	L
23/08	Burnley England Championship	1-1	3-1	3	3	W
15/08	Norwich England Championship	0-0	2-1	2	2	W
02/05	Sheff Wed England Championship	0-2	1-2	2	5	L
25/04	Ipswich England Championship	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
21/04	Watford England Championship	2-0	3-0	4	7	W
18/04	Preston England Championship	1-0	2-0	6	0	W
10/04	Millwall England Championship	0-0	0-0	7	3	D

QPR

DLLLLWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Middlesbrough England Championship	0-1	0-1	12	3	L
02/09	Cardiff England Championship	1-0	2-1	3	2	W
29/08	Blackburn England Championship	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
22/08	Bolton England Championship	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
15/08	Portsmouth England Championship	3-1	3-1	3	1	W
02/05	Ipswich England Championship	0-2	0-3	2	3	L
25/04	Derby England Championship	1-1	2-3	10	4	L
21/04	Swansea England Championship	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
18/04	Millwall England Championship	0-2	0-2	10	4	L
11/04	Bristol City England Championship	0-0	0-0	3	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in West Brom vs QPR?

According to our model, the most likely result is a West Brom win (48%). Probabilities: West Brom 48%, draw 27%, QPR 25%.

How many goals are expected in West Brom vs QPR?

The model expects 2.75 goals (West Brom 1.62 · QPR 1.12), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in West Brom vs QPR?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.