Prediction: Watford vs Stoke
- Stoke3-1Watford
- Watford1-0Stoke
- Stoke0-0Watford
- Watford3-0Stoke
- Watford1-1Stoke
- Stoke1-0Watford
| Watford | Draw | Stoke | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 29% | 34% |
| Market | 37% | 29% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Watford | Stoke | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 2.2 | 1.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.6 | 2.7 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Watford 2–2–2 Stoke
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 England Championship | Stoke | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Watford |
| 20/12/25 England Championship | Watford | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Stoke |
| 01/03/25 England Championship | Stoke | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Watford |
| 17/08/24 England Championship | Watford | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Stoke |
| 29/12/23 England Championship | Watford | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Stoke |
| 19/08/23 England Championship | Stoke | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Watford |
Standings · England Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | QPR | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | West Brom | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | Charlton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Millwall | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 8 | West Ham | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
| 9 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 8 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | Wrexham | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | Norwich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 13 | Stoke | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
| 14 | Portsmouth | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 15 | Sheff Utd | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 17 | Watford | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 19 | Southampton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 4 |
| 20 | Derby | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
| 21 | Bolton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 22 | Cardiff | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
| 23 | Preston | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
| 24 | Burnley | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Watford | Stoke |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Wrexham | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Southampton | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Watford (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Watford
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | West Brom England Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 01/09 | Swansea England Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | West Ham England Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Wrexham England Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 16/08 | Southampton England Championship |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 02/05 | Coventry England Championship |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Middlesbrough England Championship |
0-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/04 | West Brom England Championship |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Sheff Utd England Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Oxford Utd England Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
Stoke
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Charlton England Championship |
4-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 01/09 | Norwich England Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Wolverhampton England Championship |
1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Southampton England Championship |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 15/08 | Swansea England Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Bristol City England Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 15 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Portsmouth England Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 21/04 | Millwall England Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Wrexham England Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Blackburn England Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Watford vs Stoke?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Watford win (37%). Probabilities: Watford 37%, draw 29%, Stoke 34%.
How many goals are expected in Watford vs Stoke?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Watford 1.29 · Stoke 1.23), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Watford vs Stoke?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.