Football · England Championship · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: Charlton vs Portsmouth

Team pages: Charlton · Portsmouth

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Charlton1.34
Portsmouth1.29
1X2
37% 29% 34%
Charlton Draw Portsmouth
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Charlton 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LDLWLWWWDL
Portsmouth 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWLWDLWLLW
Head-to-head
Charlton 2–2–2 Portsmouth (6 last)
  • Charlton1-3Portsmouth
  • Portsmouth2-1Charlton
  • Charlton2-0Portsmouth
  • Charlton0-0Portsmouth
  • Portsmouth2-2Charlton
  • Portsmouth1-3Charlton
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Charlton 1488 · Portsmouth 1510
CharltonDrawPortsmouth
Our model37%29%34%
Market37%30%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CharltonPortsmouth
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.61.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.80.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/70/20%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 4.12.2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.13 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Charlton 222 Portsmouth

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/02/26
England Championship
Charlton1-3
HT 0-2
Portsmouth
29/12/25
England Championship
Portsmouth2-1
HT 0-0
Charlton
03/08/24
Club Friendly List
Charlton2-0
HT 1-0
Portsmouth
24/02/24
England League 1
Charlton0-0
HT 0-0
Portsmouth
11/11/23
England League 1
Portsmouth2-2
HT 1-0
Charlton
01/01/23
England League 1
Portsmouth1-3
HT 1-1
Charlton

Standings · England Championship

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Swansea 5320 7111
2 Middlesbrough 5311 8510
3 QPR 5311 7410
4 Bristol City 5311 9710
5 West Brom 5311 8610
6 Charlton 5311 6710
7 Millwall 5302 1089
8 West Ham 5221 1178
9 Wolverhampton 5221 13108
10 Birmingham 5140 767
11 Wrexham 5131 646
12 Norwich 5203 886
13 Stoke 5203 896
14 Portsmouth 5203 786
15 Sheff Utd 5131 676
16 Blackburn 5122 675
17 Lincoln City 5122 465
17 Watford 5122 465
19 Southampton 5221 1164
20 Derby 5113 5104
21 Bolton 5113 494
22 Cardiff 5032 693
23 Preston 5104 5103
24 Burnley 5023 6122

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCharltonPortsmouth
Stoke 0-4 L 3-1 W
Derby 2-1 W 0-2 L
Ipswich 1-2 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Portsmouth (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Charlton

LDLWLWWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Stoke
England Championship
0-4 0-4 35 L
02/09 West Brom
England Championship
0-0 1-1 32 D
29/08 Preston
England Championship
0-0 1-0 72 W
22/08 West Ham
England Championship
1-0 2-1 45 W
15/08 Derby
England Championship
0-1 2-1 53 W
02/05 Swansea
England Championship
0-0 1-3 40 L
25/04 Hull
England Championship
1-1 2-1 53 W
22/04 Ipswich
England Championship
1-1 1-2 14 L
18/04 Sheff Wed
England Championship
0-0 1-1 23 D
11/04 Preston
England Championship
1-1 1-2 75 L

Portsmouth

WWLWDLWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Cardiff
England Championship
1-0 2-0 54 W
01/09 Derby
England Championship
0-1 0-2 113 L
29/08 Bristol City
England Championship
0-1 1-2 103 L
22/08 Lincoln City
England Championship
2-1 3-1 34 W
15/08 QPR
England Championship
1-3 1-3 61 L
02/05 Birmingham
England Championship
1-1 1-1 34 D
25/04 Stoke
England Championship
1-0 3-1 12 W
21/04 Coventry
England Championship
0-1 1-5 11 L
18/04 Leicester
England Championship
0-0 1-0 54 W
14/04 Ipswich
England Championship
2-0 2-0 34 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Charlton vs Portsmouth?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Charlton win (37%). Probabilities: Charlton 37%, draw 29%, Portsmouth 34%.

How many goals are expected in Charlton vs Portsmouth?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Charlton 1.34 · Portsmouth 1.29), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Charlton vs Portsmouth?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.