Football · England Championship · 05/09, 13:30
Prediction: Preston vs Blackburn
Team pages: Preston · Blackburn
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Preston1.17
Blackburn1.15
1X2
Preston
Draw
Blackburn
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Preston
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Blackburn
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Preston
1–2–3
Blackburn
(6 last)
- Blackburn1-0Preston
- Preston1-2Blackburn
- Blackburn2-1Preston
- Preston0-0Blackburn
- Preston2-2Blackburn
- Blackburn1-2Preston
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Preston 1415 · Blackburn 1523
| Preston | Draw | Blackburn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 31% | 34% |
| Market | 36% | 29% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Blackburn (rating 1415 vs 1523).
- H2H favours Blackburn: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Preston | Blackburn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.9 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.5 | 2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Preston 1–2–3 Blackburn
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/26 England Championship | Blackburn | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Preston |
| 21/11/25 England Championship | Preston | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Blackburn |
| 31/01/25 England Championship | Blackburn | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Preston |
| 22/09/24 England Championship | Preston | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Blackburn |
| 17/02/24 England Championship | Preston | 2-2 HT 2-2 | Blackburn |
| 10/11/23 England Championship | Blackburn | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Preston |
Standings · England Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlton | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Wolverhampton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Swansea | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | QPR | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Millwall | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | West Brom | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Birmingham | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | Watford | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Bolton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Cardiff | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Sheff Utd | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Norwich | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Portsmouth | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Southampton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 2 |
| 19 | West Ham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 20 | Wrexham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 21 | Derby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 22 | Burnley | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
| 23 | Preston | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 | Stoke | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Preston | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Southampton | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Sheff Utd | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Birmingham | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| West Brom | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| QPR | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Leicester | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Blackburn (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Preston
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Charlton England Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Wolverhampton England Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Bolton England Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Southampton England Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Sheff Utd England Championship |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/04 | Birmingham England Championship |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | West Brom England Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 11/04 | Charlton England Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 06/04 | QPR England Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 03/04 | Leicester England Championship |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
Blackburn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | QPR England Championship |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Middlesbrough England Championship |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/08 | Wolverhampton England Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Leicester England Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 22/04 | Sheff Utd England Championship |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/04 | Coventry England Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 14/04 | Southampton England Championship |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Stoke England Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 06/04 | West Brom England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/04 | Birmingham England Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Preston vs Blackburn?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Preston win (36%). Probabilities: Preston 36%, draw 30%, Blackburn 35%.
How many goals are expected in Preston vs Blackburn?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Preston 1.17 · Blackburn 1.15), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Preston vs Blackburn?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.