Prediction: West Brom vs Watford
Team pages: West Brom · Watford
- West Brom3-0Watford
- Watford2-1West Brom
- West Brom2-1Watford
- Watford2-1West Brom
- Watford1-0West Brom
- West Brom2-2Watford
| West Brom | Draw | Watford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 27% | 26% |
| Market | 46% | 28% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours West Brom (rating 1565 vs 1443).
- H2H favours Watford: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| West Brom | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.8 | 2.1 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 5.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · West Brom 2–1–3 Watford
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/26 England Championship | West Brom | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Watford |
| 22/10/25 England Championship | Watford | 2-1 HT 1-1 | West Brom |
| 12/04/25 England Championship | West Brom | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Watford |
| 15/12/24 England Championship | Watford | 2-1 HT 1-0 | West Brom |
| 09/08/24 Portugal Super Cup | Watford | 1-0 HT 2-0 | West Brom |
| 01/04/24 England Championship | West Brom | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Watford |
Standings · England Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlton | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Wolverhampton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Swansea | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | QPR | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Millwall | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | West Brom | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Birmingham | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | Watford | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Bolton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Cardiff | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Sheff Utd | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Norwich | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Portsmouth | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Southampton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 2 |
| 19 | West Ham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 20 | Wrexham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 21 | Derby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 22 | Burnley | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
| 23 | Preston | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 | Stoke | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | West Brom | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | 1-3 L | 1-5 L |
| Wrexham | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: West Brom (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
West Brom
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Middlesbrough England Championship |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Burnley England Championship |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Norwich England Championship |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Sheff Wed England Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Ipswich England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 21/04 | Watford England Championship |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | Preston England Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 10/04 | Millwall England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 06/04 | Blackburn England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 03/04 | Wrexham England Championship |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
Watford
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | West Ham England Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Wrexham England Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 16/08 | Southampton England Championship |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 02/05 | Coventry England Championship |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Middlesbrough England Championship |
0-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/04 | West Brom England Championship |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Sheff Utd England Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Oxford Utd England Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | Charlton England Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 17 | 4 | D |
| 03/04 | QPR England Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in West Brom vs Watford?
According to our model, the most likely result is a West Brom win (46%). Probabilities: West Brom 46%, draw 28%, Watford 26%.
How many goals are expected in West Brom vs Watford?
The model expects 2.76 goals (West Brom 1.61 · Watford 1.15), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in West Brom vs Watford?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.