Football · England Championship · 08/09, 20:45
Prediction: Blackburn vs Sheff Utd
Team pages: Blackburn · Sheff Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Blackburn1.15
Sheff Utd1.39
1X2
Blackburn
Draw
Sheff Utd
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Blackburn
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Sheff Utd
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Blackburn
1–1–4
Sheff Utd
(6 last)
- Blackburn1-2Sheff Utd
- Sheff Utd1-3Blackburn
- Blackburn1-3Sheff Utd
- Sheff Utd1-1Blackburn
- Blackburn0-2Sheff Utd
- Sheff Utd3-2Blackburn
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Blackburn 1478 · Sheff Utd 1580
| Blackburn | Draw | Sheff Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 29% | 41% |
| Market | 31% | 27% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sheff Utd (rating 1478 vs 1580).
- H2H favours Sheff Utd: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Blackburn | Sheff Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.1 | 2.3 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Blackburn 1–1–4 Sheff Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/26 England EFL Cup | Blackburn | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Sheff Utd |
| 22/04/26 England Championship | Sheff Utd | 1-3 HT 0-3 | Blackburn |
| 21/10/25 England Championship | Blackburn | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Sheff Utd |
| 03/05/25 England Championship | Sheff Utd | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Blackburn |
| 02/11/24 England Championship | Blackburn | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Sheff Utd |
| 19/03/23 England FA Cup | Sheff Utd | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Blackburn |
Standings · England Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | QPR | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | West Brom | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | Charlton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Millwall | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 8 | West Ham | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
| 9 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | Wrexham | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | Norwich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 13 | Stoke | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
| 14 | Portsmouth | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 15 | Sheff Utd | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 17 | Watford | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 19 | Southampton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 4 |
| 20 | Derby | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
| 21 | Bolton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 22 | Cardiff | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
| 23 | Preston | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
| 24 | Burnley | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Blackburn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Preston England Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 01/09 | Lincoln City England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | QPR England Championship |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Middlesbrough England Championship |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/08 | Wolverhampton England Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Leicester England Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 22/04 | Sheff Utd England Championship |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/04 | Coventry England Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 14/04 | Southampton England Championship |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Stoke England Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
Sheff Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Norwich England Championship |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 01/09 | Bolton England Championship |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Cardiff England Championship |
2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Swansea England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Birmingham England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Derby England Championship |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Preston England Championship |
0-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 22/04 | Blackburn England Championship |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Watford England Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Hull England Championship |
0-1 | 2-1 | 15 | 10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Blackburn vs Sheff Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sheff Utd win (42%). Probabilities: Blackburn 30%, draw 28%, Sheff Utd 42%.
How many goals are expected in Blackburn vs Sheff Utd?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Blackburn 1.15 · Sheff Utd 1.39), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Blackburn vs Sheff Utd?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.