Football · England Championship · 08/09, 20:45
Prediction: Watford vs Preston
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
Watford1.56
Preston1.15
1X2
Watford
Draw
Preston
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Watford
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Preston
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Watford
1–3–2
Preston
(6 last)
- Preston2-2Watford
- Watford1-1Preston
- Watford1-2Preston
- Preston3-0Watford
- Watford0-0Preston
- Preston1-5Watford
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Watford 1439 · Preston 1406
| Watford | Draw | Preston | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 28% | 27% |
| Market | 46% | 28% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Preston: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Watford | Preston | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 2.2 | 1.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.6 | 2.3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Watford 1–3–2 Preston
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 England Championship | Preston | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Watford |
| 25/11/25 England Championship | Watford | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Preston |
| 21/01/25 England Championship | Watford | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Preston |
| 02/10/24 England Championship | Preston | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Watford |
| 06/04/24 England Championship | Watford | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Preston |
| 16/12/23 England Championship | Preston | 1-5 HT 1-1 | Watford |
Standings · England Championship
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | QPR | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | West Brom | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | Charlton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Millwall | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 8 | West Ham | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
| 9 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | Wrexham | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | Norwich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 13 | Stoke | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
| 14 | Portsmouth | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 15 | Sheff Utd | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 17 | Watford | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 19 | Southampton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 4 |
| 20 | Derby | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
| 21 | Bolton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 22 | Cardiff | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
| 23 | Preston | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
| 24 | Burnley | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Watford | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Southampton | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Sheff Utd | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Watford (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Watford
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | West Brom England Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 01/09 | Swansea England Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | West Ham England Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Wrexham England Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 16/08 | Southampton England Championship |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 02/05 | Coventry England Championship |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Middlesbrough England Championship |
0-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/04 | West Brom England Championship |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Sheff Utd England Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Oxford Utd England Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
Preston
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Blackburn England Championship |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 01/09 | Bristol City England Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Charlton England Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Wolverhampton England Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Bolton England Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Southampton England Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Sheff Utd England Championship |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/04 | Birmingham England Championship |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | West Brom England Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 11/04 | Charlton England Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Watford vs Preston?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Watford win (46%). Probabilities: Watford 46%, draw 28%, Preston 27%.
How many goals are expected in Watford vs Preston?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Watford 1.56 · Preston 1.15), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Watford vs Preston?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.